Maxwell playoff projections heading into Week 8

August 20, 2021 - Kennesaw, Ga: Buford wide receiver Tobi Olawale (4) celebrates his receiving touchdown with running back Victor Venn (6) during the second half against North Cobb at North Cobb high school Friday, August 20, 2021 in Kennesaw, Ga.. Buford won 35-27. JASON GETZ FOR THE ATLANTA JOURNAL-CONSTITUTION

By Loren Maxwell

Oct 2, 2024

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class in the GHSA.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2024 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 iterations.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Buford	8-AAAAAA	4-1	101.36	1,000,000	3.93	859,647	625,288	481,527	367,009	1.72
North Gwinnett	7-AAAAAA	5-0	97.36	999,999	3.76	930,651	500,603	338,214	213,562	3.68
Carrollton	2-AAAAAA	6-0	96.12	999,985	3.65	733,195	674,859	335,769	199,580	4.01
Mill Creek	8-AAAAAA	5-1	91.16	999,999	2.77	501,775	322,526	177,984	57,468	16.40
North Cobb	5-AAAAAA	6-0	90.50	999,994	2.64	410,035	310,125	172,905	53,927	17.54
Douglas County	2-AAAAAA	5-1	88.70	999,585	2.49	397,579	312,782	109,127	34,849	27.70
Grayson	4-AAAAAA	4-1	84.73	999,994	3.06	716,247	274,272	107,340	20,581	47.59
Colquitt County	1-AAAAAA	3-2	86.13	932,439	2.06	226,733	137,694	49,108	11,757	84.06
Lowndes	1-AAAAAA	5-0	85.22	926,985	1.99	205,309	120,659	40,082	8,870	111.74
Norcross	7-AAAAAA	4-1	82.67	998,288	2.74	619,044	171,517	55,836	8,667	114.38
Collins Hill	8-AAAAAA	6-0	84.98	999,722	1.90	228,270	122,615	43,351	8,326	119.11
Valdosta	1-AAAAAA	5-0	85.06	907,077	1.93	194,862	113,897	37,266	8,268	119.95
Camden County	1-AAAAAA	5-0	83.83	891,359	1.76	155,310	87,625	24,789	4,962	200.53
McEachern	3-AAAAAA	3-2	77.21	999,969	2.33	381,255	72,396	15,088	1,378	724.69
Lambert	6-AAAAAA	3-2	72.95	997,130	2.20	414,109	48,740	3,151	270	3,702.70
South Gwinnett	4-AAAAAA	5-1	72.86	999,634	1.99	244,558	28,326	3,080	189	5,290.01
Walton	5-AAAAAA	3-3	75.28	984,375	1.27	24,826	10,856	788	95	10,525.32
East Coweta	2-AAAAAA	3-3	74.59	986,411	1.14	27,709	9,881	1,065	79	12,657.23
Newton	4-AAAAAA	2-3	70.99	998,934	1.90	214,957	18,669	1,258	67	14,924.37
Richmond Hill	1-AAAAAA	5-0	73.76	325,998	0.43	9,058	3,123	324	26	38,460.54
West Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	3-2	68.98	954,619	1.40	87,059	6,993	561	23	43,477.26
Peachtree Ridge	7-AAAAAA	2-3	69.31	808,432	1.30	102,272	7,543	493	19	52,630.58
Cherokee	5-AAAAAA	4-2	71.27	967,539	1.16	12,189	3,941	239	10	99,999.00
Westlake	2-AAAAAA	3-3	71.09	981,586	1.06	10,389	2,442	204	9	111,110.11
North Atlanta	6-AAAAAA	4-1	65.54	835,948	1.10	53,974	2,909	129	4	249,999.00
Harrison	3-AAAAAA	4-1	65.44	994,899	1.46	89,944	4,313	145	3	333,332.33
Hillgrove	3-AAAAAA	5-0	63.49	976,843	1.27	43,872	1,743	52	1	999,999.00
North Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	3-2	64.67	769,603	0.92	24,090	1,114	49	1	999,999.00
Brookwood	7-AAAAAA	2-3	63.42	595,729	0.80	35,313	1,175	28	-	-
North Paulding	5-AAAAAA	3-3	65.72	612,572	0.66	2,244	378	24	-	-
Archer	4-AAAAAA	0-5	58.75	907,914	1.04	11,746	194	7	-	-
Denmark	6-AAAAAA	1-4	60.66	414,191	0.45	5,645	176	7	-	-
Parkview	7-AAAAAA	1-4	60.69	377,429	0.48	14,010	352	5	-	-
Campbell	3-AAAAAA	3-2	57.85	731,236	0.79	6,790	121	5	-	-
Central Gwinnett	8-AAAAAA	3-3	58.61	752,676	0.76	561	76	-	-	-
Duluth	7-AAAAAA	3-2	57.41	219,357	0.26	4,200	60	-	-	-
Wheeler	5-AAAAAA	1-5	58.85	332,431	0.34	239	14	-	-	-
Tift County	1-AAAAAA	2-3	59.64	16,142	0.02	12	2	-	-	-
Marietta	5-AAAAAA	1-5	57.02	97,096	0.10	46	1	-	-	-
Paulding County	3-AAAAAA	1-4	47.19	179,704	0.18	160	-	-	-	-
Pebblebrook	3-AAAAAA	2-3	46.40	107,966	0.11	91	-	-	-	-
Dacula	8-AAAAAA	2-3	47.65	136,092	0.14	7	-	-	-	-
Forsyth Central	6-AAAAAA	2-3	48.11	24,710	0.02	6	-	-	-	-
Mountain View	8-AAAAAA	0-6	47.77	111,353	0.11	4	-	-	-	-
Grovetown	4-AAAAAA	0-6	38.47	64,657	0.07	3	-	-	-	-
South Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	2-3	45.60	2,745	0.00	2	-	-	-	-
Berkmar	7-AAAAAA	1-4	44.48	763	0.00	2	-	-	-	-
Etowah	5-AAAAAA	1-5	45.11	5,993	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Chapel Hill	2-AAAAAA	1-4	43.51	32,433	0.03	-	-	-	-	-
Heritage (Conyers)	4-AAAAAA	2-2	32.12	17,652	0.02	-	-	-	-	-
Rockdale County	4-AAAAAA	3-2	32.09	11,215	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Osborne	3-AAAAAA	1-4	34.28	9,383	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Alpharetta	6-AAAAAA	0-5	44.16	1,054	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Discovery	8-AAAAAA	0-6	24.21	158	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Meadowcreek	7-AAAAAA	0-5	27.92	3	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
South Cobb	3-AAAAAA	0-5	20.43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAA	Colquitt County	282,809	250,314	223,125	176,191	932,439	67,561
1-AAAAAA	Lowndes	268,057	254,859	227,237	176,832	926,985	73,015
1-AAAAAA	Valdosta	251,882	245,873	227,116	182,206	907,077	92,923
1-AAAAAA	Camden County	184,557	213,973	248,186	244,643	891,359	108,641
1-AAAAAA	Richmond Hill	12,607	34,532	71,934	206,925	325,998	674,002
1-AAAAAA	Tift County	88	449	2,402	13,203	16,142	983,858
2-AAAAAA	Carrollton	664,010	298,353	32,509	5,113	999,985	15
2-AAAAAA	Douglas County	306,853	548,087	118,266	26,379	999,585	415
2-AAAAAA	East Coweta	22,507	105,471	464,869	393,564	986,411	13,589
2-AAAAAA	Westlake	6,629	48,020	383,078	543,859	981,586	18,414
2-AAAAAA	Chapel Hill	1	69	1,278	31,085	32,433	967,567
3-AAAAAA	McEachern	794,241	173,490	31,773	465	999,969	31
3-AAAAAA	Harrison	134,418	520,568	315,418	24,495	994,899	5,101
3-AAAAAA	Hillgrove	71,300	287,863	446,765	170,915	976,843	23,157
3-AAAAAA	Paulding County	41	6,969	31,110	141,584	179,704	820,296
3-AAAAAA	Campbell	-	10,974	172,219	548,043	731,236	268,764
3-AAAAAA	Pebblebrook	-	115	2,389	105,462	107,966	892,034
3-AAAAAA	Osborne	-	21	326	9,036	9,383	990,617
3-AAAAAA	South Cobb	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
4-AAAAAA	Grayson	744,018	202,937	48,272	4,767	999,994	6
4-AAAAAA	South Gwinnett	166,383	417,370	334,027	81,854	999,634	366
4-AAAAAA	Newton	87,089	375,474	528,804	7,567	998,934	1,066
4-AAAAAA	Archer	2,510	4,174	87,157	814,073	907,914	92,086
4-AAAAAA	Grovetown	-	36	1,212	63,409	64,657	935,343
4-AAAAAA	Heritage (Conyers)	-	8	356	17,288	17,652	982,348
4-AAAAAA	Rockdale County	-	1	172	11,042	11,215	988,785
5-AAAAAA	North Cobb	940,164	58,231	1,308	291	999,994	6
5-AAAAAA	Cherokee	57,661	405,002	422,481	82,395	967,539	32,461
5-AAAAAA	Walton	1,632	501,919	391,624	89,200	984,375	15,625
5-AAAAAA	Wheeler	468	7,549	65,970	258,444	332,431	667,569
5-AAAAAA	Marietta	75	5,051	25,584	66,386	97,096	902,904
5-AAAAAA	North Paulding	-	22,242	92,913	497,417	612,572	387,428
5-AAAAAA	Etowah	-	6	120	5,867	5,993	994,007
6-AAAAAA	Lambert	811,230	135,230	35,789	14,881	997,130	2,870
6-AAAAAA	North Atlanta	116,662	206,856	256,452	255,978	835,948	164,052
6-AAAAAA	West Forsyth	41,644	442,093	316,349	154,533	954,619	45,381
6-AAAAAA	Denmark	16,455	37,096	115,259	245,381	414,191	585,809
6-AAAAAA	North Forsyth	13,905	177,967	271,991	305,740	769,603	230,397
6-AAAAAA	Forsyth Central	96	696	3,699	20,219	24,710	975,290
6-AAAAAA	South Forsyth	6	30	316	2,393	2,745	997,255
6-AAAAAA	Alpharetta	2	32	145	875	1,054	998,946
7-AAAAAA	North Gwinnett	876,423	120,568	2,946	62	999,999	1
7-AAAAAA	Norcross	119,935	813,164	54,996	10,193	998,288	1,712
7-AAAAAA	Peachtree Ridge	3,534	20,589	516,096	268,213	808,432	191,568
7-AAAAAA	Brookwood	50	26,844	221,113	347,722	595,729	404,271
7-AAAAAA	Duluth	36	401	70,193	148,727	219,357	780,643
7-AAAAAA	Parkview	22	18,434	134,639	224,334	377,429	622,571
7-AAAAAA	Berkmar	-	-	17	746	763	999,237
7-AAAAAA	Meadowcreek	-	-	-	3	3	999,997
8-AAAAAA	Buford	740,682	212,780	46,147	391	1,000,000	-
8-AAAAAA	Mill Creek	199,722	488,777	311,247	253	999,999	1
8-AAAAAA	Collins Hill	59,596	298,381	638,647	3,098	999,722	278
8-AAAAAA	Central Gwinnett	-	37	1,678	750,961	752,676	247,324
8-AAAAAA	Dacula	-	25	2,266	133,801	136,092	863,908
8-AAAAAA	Mountain View	-	-	15	111,338	111,353	888,647
8-AAAAAA	Discovery	-	-	-	158	158	999,842

Class AAAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Milton	7-AAAAA	6-0	106.33	1,000,000	4.58	985,425	940,223	658,977	528,090	0.89
Lee County	2-AAAAA	6-0	101.82	999,960	4.38	975,337	921,367	481,198	303,268	2.30
Coffee	2-AAAAA	6-0	95.33	999,918	4.05	908,262	717,640	434,424	119,626	7.36
Thomas County Central	2-AAAAA	5-1	89.66	992,919	3.46	822,475	493,594	184,333	29,405	33.01
Gainesville	7-AAAAA	5-1	85.50	998,978	2.88	644,021	266,715	86,540	8,749	113.30
Hughes	3-AAAAA	4-1	83.44	999,962	2.72	525,941	150,133	60,708	4,774	208.47
Roswell	7-AAAAA	4-1	83.30	997,439	2.71	587,082	212,608	56,835	4,620	215.45
Rome	5-AAAAA	2-2	77.62	999,652	2.15	146,499	47,461	12,583	483	2,069.39
Houston County	2-AAAAA	5-1	77.15	914,900	2.24	517,663	65,003	7,321	423	2,363.07
Brunswick	1-AAAAA	5-1	75.08	1,000,000	2.23	248,538	72,383	10,219	320	3,124.00
River Ridge	6-AAAAA	4-1	75.01	985,390	2.09	469,559	37,911	3,040	163	6,133.97
Woodward Academy	4-AAAAA	3-3	69.60	999,533	1.92	129,849	20,773	1,628	36	27,776.78
East Paulding	5-AAAAA	4-1	71.08	992,836	1.86	52,515	10,303	384	17	58,822.53
Sequoyah	6-AAAAA	4-1	69.99	715,257	0.96	89,389	6,788	403	9	111,110.11
Decatur	4-AAAAA	6-0	66.43	998,577	1.78	83,040	9,670	465	5	199,999.00
Lakeside (Evans)	1-AAAAA	5-0	65.58	995,811	1.78	133,324	5,749	225	4	249,999.00
Sprayberry	6-AAAAA	5-1	67.28	741,369	0.96	77,063	4,196	186	4	249,999.00
Clarke Central	8-AAAAA	4-2	66.89	999,708	1.34	121,081	4,652	185	3	333,332.33
Newnan	3-AAAAA	4-1	63.77	991,539	1.72	117,877	2,794	81	1	999,999.00
Seckinger	7-AAAAA	4-2	66.53	600,190	0.88	98,381	2,490	76	-	-
Woodstock	6-AAAAA	5-1	65.30	706,672	0.79	21,990	1,701	65	-	-
Dutchtown	3-AAAAA	2-3	62.36	962,861	1.55	81,091	1,655	31	-	-
Creekview	6-AAAAA	4-2	64.70	327,305	0.37	13,171	673	18	-	-
Lovejoy	3-AAAAA	2-3	59.09	840,470	1.11	21,212	602	17	-	-
Pope	6-AAAAA	3-3	61.65	523,955	0.56	9,242	485	17	-	-
Jackson County	8-AAAAA	4-2	57.61	981,785	1.01	3,558	225	9	-	-
Villa Rica	5-AAAAA	4-2	58.91	897,803	1.15	18,213	467	8	-	-
Lanier	7-AAAAA	3-3	62.21	386,878	0.50	34,440	546	7	-	-
Winder-Barrow	8-AAAAA	4-2	58.63	996,797	1.06	14,083	437	7	-	-
New Manchester	5-AAAAA	5-1	58.33	891,587	1.10	17,820	355	5	-	-
Northside (Warner Robins)	2-AAAAA	2-4	59.88	92,201	0.13	9,428	134	3	-	-
Effingham County	1-AAAAA	2-3	58.22	726,005	0.89	9,139	171	1	-	-
Evans	1-AAAAA	2-2	55.04	444,054	0.49	439	17	1	-	-
Lakeside (Atlanta)	4-AAAAA	4-2	50.84	964,679	1.13	9,944	40	-	-	-
Glynn Academy	1-AAAAA	3-3	54.39	512,823	0.56	514	18	-	-	-
Kennesaw Mountain	5-AAAAA	2-3	51.19	153,653	0.17	406	8	-	-	-
Greenbrier	1-AAAAA	2-2	51.22	301,597	0.33	508	6	-	-	-
Habersham Central	8-AAAAA	2-4	47.78	833,717	0.84	145	3	-	-	-
Tri-Cities	4-AAAAA	4-1	47.60	764,978	0.79	587	2	-	-	-
Northgate	3-AAAAA	2-4	47.36	190,987	0.21	285	1	-	-	-
Chattahoochee	7-AAAAA	4-2	51.92	10,899	0.01	169	1	-	-	-
Shiloh	4-AAAAA	0-5	44.94	123,872	0.13	213	-	-	-	-
South Paulding	5-AAAAA	1-4	46.52	61,563	0.06	44	-	-	-	-
Dunwoody	4-AAAAA	1-5	46.35	30,218	0.03	9	-	-	-	-
Johns Creek	7-AAAAA	0-5	42.60	5,616	0.01	9	-	-	-	-
Arabia Mountain	4-AAAAA	1-5	42.83	100,960	0.10	8	-	-	-	-
Statesboro	1-AAAAA	2-3	45.40	12,823	0.01	5	-	-	-	-
Alexander	5-AAAAA	1-5	44.68	2,840	0.00	3	-	-	-	-
Chamblee	4-AAAAA	0-5	34.12	17,183	0.02	1	-	-	-	-
Banneker	3-AAAAA	2-3	40.83	8,862	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
South Effingham	1-AAAAA	0-4	40.13	6,720	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
McIntosh	3-AAAAA	2-4	41.61	3,308	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Alcovy	8-AAAAA	1-5	35.55	92,180	0.09	-	-	-	-	-
Apalachee	8-AAAAA	0-4	34.08	76,751	0.08	-	-	-	-	-
Loganville	8-AAAAA	0-5	34.64	19,062	0.02	-	-	-	-	-
Morrow	3-AAAAA	1-4	32.94	2,011	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Bradwell Institute	1-AAAAA	1-4	38.51	167	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Veterans	2-AAAAA	0-6	43.12	102	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Lithia Springs	5-AAAAA	1-5	38.81	66	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Riverwood	6-AAAAA	0-6	34.61	33	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Lassiter	6-AAAAA	2-4	37.95	19	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAA	Brunswick	813,065	185,966	962	7	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAA	Lakeside (Evans)	186,007	655,998	136,669	17,137	995,811	4,189
1-AAAAA	Effingham County	730	124,651	355,047	245,577	726,005	273,995
1-AAAAA	Greenbrier	193	20,892	104,520	175,992	301,597	698,403
1-AAAAA	Statesboro	4	304	2,197	10,318	12,823	987,177
1-AAAAA	Glynn Academy	1	7,049	211,520	294,253	512,823	487,177
1-AAAAA	Evans	-	5,135	188,436	250,483	444,054	555,946
1-AAAAA	South Effingham	-	4	636	6,080	6,720	993,280
1-AAAAA	Bradwell Institute	-	1	13	153	167	999,833
2-AAAAA	Lee County	766,355	213,182	17,313	3,110	999,960	40
2-AAAAA	Coffee	212,512	481,689	264,881	40,836	999,918	82
2-AAAAA	Thomas County Central	16,879	277,173	538,272	160,595	992,919	7,081
2-AAAAA	Houston County	4,250	27,856	176,236	706,558	914,900	85,100
2-AAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	4	100	3,284	88,813	92,201	907,799
2-AAAAA	Veterans	-	-	14	88	102	999,898
3-AAAAA	Hughes	927,803	69,235	1,884	1,040	999,962	38
3-AAAAA	Newnan	63,688	459,535	323,025	145,291	991,539	8,461
3-AAAAA	Lovejoy	6,441	84,495	193,146	556,388	840,470	159,530
3-AAAAA	Dutchtown	1,936	383,364	455,163	122,398	962,861	37,139
3-AAAAA	Northgate	132	3,066	24,376	163,413	190,987	809,013
3-AAAAA	Banneker	-	180	1,688	6,994	8,862	991,138
3-AAAAA	McIntosh	-	122	652	2,534	3,308	996,692
3-AAAAA	Morrow	-	3	66	1,942	2,011	997,989
4-AAAAA	Woodward Academy	536,757	396,674	57,974	8,128	999,533	467
4-AAAAA	Decatur	436,003	461,303	84,470	16,801	998,577	1,423
4-AAAAA	Lakeside (Atlanta)	22,747	113,069	731,155	97,708	964,679	35,321
4-AAAAA	Tri-Cities	4,475	25,075	67,040	668,388	764,978	235,022
4-AAAAA	Shiloh	18	3,870	54,594	65,390	123,872	876,128
4-AAAAA	Chamblee	-	6	2,634	14,543	17,183	982,817
4-AAAAA	Arabia Mountain	-	2	1,502	99,456	100,960	899,040
4-AAAAA	Dunwoody	-	1	631	29,586	30,218	969,782
5-AAAAA	Rome	945,688	39,895	8,963	5,106	999,652	348
5-AAAAA	Villa Rica	24,612	106,887	382,704	383,600	897,803	102,197
5-AAAAA	East Paulding	18,222	811,754	141,104	21,756	992,836	7,164
5-AAAAA	New Manchester	10,804	31,742	432,435	416,606	891,587	108,413
5-AAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	594	8,271	28,484	116,304	153,653	846,347
5-AAAAA	South Paulding	80	1,442	6,102	53,939	61,563	938,437
5-AAAAA	Alexander	-	9	205	2,626	2,840	997,160
5-AAAAA	Lithia Springs	-	-	3	63	66	999,934
6-AAAAA	River Ridge	659,856	216,091	80,237	29,206	985,390	14,610
6-AAAAA	Sprayberry	141,378	228,707	201,471	169,813	741,369	258,631
6-AAAAA	Sequoyah	128,250	181,920	219,334	185,753	715,257	284,743
6-AAAAA	Creekview	28,124	56,854	96,357	145,970	327,305	672,695
6-AAAAA	Woodstock	25,853	175,954	236,590	268,275	706,672	293,328
6-AAAAA	Pope	16,539	140,474	166,010	200,932	523,955	476,045
6-AAAAA	Lassiter	-	-	1	18	19	999,981
6-AAAAA	Riverwood	-	-	-	33	33	999,967
7-AAAAA	Milton	913,033	79,126	7,768	73	1,000,000	-
7-AAAAA	Gainesville	56,853	471,630	442,532	27,963	998,978	1,022
7-AAAAA	Roswell	30,059	446,120	497,258	24,002	997,439	2,561
7-AAAAA	Lanier	55	995	22,788	363,040	386,878	613,122
7-AAAAA	Seckinger	-	2,073	27,936	570,181	600,190	399,810
7-AAAAA	Chattahoochee	-	56	1,678	9,165	10,899	989,101
7-AAAAA	Johns Creek	-	-	40	5,576	5,616	994,384
8-AAAAA	Clarke Central	741,084	223,246	26,837	8,541	999,708	292
8-AAAAA	Winder-Barrow	226,078	405,560	337,611	27,548	996,797	3,203
8-AAAAA	Jackson County	24,205	343,734	438,329	175,517	981,785	18,215
8-AAAAA	Habersham Central	8,596	25,857	183,966	615,298	833,717	166,283
8-AAAAA	Loganville	29	696	3,168	15,169	19,062	980,938
8-AAAAA	Apalachee	7	834	8,693	67,217	76,751	923,249
8-AAAAA	Alcovy	1	73	1,396	90,710	92,180	907,820

Class AAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Marist	5-AAAA	5-0	90.21	999,999	3.96	864,037	712,303	487,731	321,292	2.11
Benedictine	1-AAAA	2-2	87.29	998,214	3.36	680,654	471,255	264,558	142,492	6.02
Ware County	1-AAAA	2-3	87.04	997,390	3.33	669,369	462,178	252,443	135,632	6.37
North Oconee	8-AAAA	6-0	86.90	999,977	3.20	562,528	405,203	244,366	125,460	6.97
Blessed Trinity	6-AAAA	4-1	83.63	998,845	3.11	683,494	368,146	172,486	72,360	12.82
Warner Robins	1-AAAA	5-1	82.94	992,854	2.95	598,325	338,554	141,042	55,436	17.04
Cartersville	7-AAAA	6-0	82.24	998,913	2.90	670,232	258,322	124,189	47,189	20.19
Cambridge	6-AAAA	6-0	81.37	997,560	2.76	563,602	253,047	99,441	36,172	26.65
Creekside	4-AAAA	3-2	80.15	999,995	2.60	490,667	184,475	61,091	22,642	43.17
Cedartown	7-AAAA	6-0	78.29	999,995	2.47	509,273	142,387	51,826	14,806	66.54
Eastside	8-AAAA	6-0	79.22	999,969	2.40	278,929	133,503	43,919	13,799	71.47
Central (Carrollton)	3-AAAA	5-1	77.09	994,265	2.55	458,551	121,384	38,113	10,557	93.72
Harris County	3-AAAA	5-1	70.88	975,282	1.84	176,712	29,924	5,289	787	1,269.65
Jonesboro	3-AAAA	3-3	69.34	930,987	1.77	142,976	29,353	4,204	499	2,003.01
Kell	6-AAAA	4-2	69.74	956,098	1.41	113,810	17,137	2,529	335	2,984.07
Perry	1-AAAA	4-2	68.40	975,896	1.29	103,737	21,616	2,541	276	3,622.19
Ola	2-AAAA	5-0	64.36	994,318	1.84	102,451	17,549	1,693	120	8,332.33
Starr's Mill	3-AAAA	6-0	64.26	783,459	1.13	46,223	4,604	402	30	33,332.33
Mays	4-AAAA	3-2	64.69	999,258	1.46	59,413	4,917	513	28	35,713.29
East Forsyth	8-AAAA	5-1	63.51	968,513	1.49	32,320	4,492	321	26	38,460.54
Stockbridge	2-AAAA	5-1	61.97	999,460	1.70	62,339	8,437	591	25	39,999.00
Cass	7-AAAA	4-3	64.67	734,099	0.84	24,557	3,804	300	17	58,822.53
Hiram	7-AAAA	3-3	62.70	973,228	1.15	27,274	1,834	115	11	90,908.09
St. Pius X	5-AAAA	5-1	59.98	983,294	1.08	22,680	2,279	131	5	199,999.00
Westminster (Atlanta)	6-AAAA	3-3	61.27	805,545	0.92	19,940	959	63	4	249,999.00
Tucker	5-AAAA	4-1	59.07	995,705	1.07	15,255	1,371	65	-	-
Northside (Columbus)	3-AAAA	3-2	59.75	313,512	0.37	5,300	316	22	-	-
Jones County	2-AAAA	4-2	58.59	972,320	1.06	2,932	216	9	-	-
Maynard Jackson	4-AAAA	5-0	53.45	971,293	1.09	5,465	242	4	-	-
Walnut Grove	8-AAAA	4-1	47.94	409,094	0.46	1,131	24	2	-	-
Union Grove	2-AAAA	3-2	49.56	342,729	0.36	326	17	1	-	-
Allatoona	7-AAAA	3-3	53.22	287,927	0.30	926	40	-	-	-
Madison County	8-AAAA	2-3	48.96	354,481	0.40	1,272	29	-	-	-
New Hampstead	1-AAAA	2-4	57.32	17,661	0.02	369	28	-	-	-
Southwest DeKalb	5-AAAA	3-3	50.73	751,108	0.76	612	18	-	-	-
Flowery Branch	8-AAAA	1-5	45.91	261,315	0.29	508	13	-	-	-
Centennial	6-AAAA	4-1	52.81	241,952	0.25	1,075	10	-	-	-
Hampton	2-AAAA	3-2	51.65	407,771	0.42	163	7	-	-	-
Drew	4-AAAA	5-1	45.50	756,469	0.78	389	3	-	-	-
Pace Academy	4-AAAA	2-4	45.12	239,657	0.25	119	2	-	-	-
Wayne County	1-AAAA	0-6	47.02	17,985	0.02	21	1	-	-	-
Lithonia	5-AAAA	4-1	42.07	267,670	0.27	12	1	-	-	-
Eagle's Landing	2-AAAA	3-3	46.76	282,303	0.29	30	-	-	-	-
M.L. King	4-AAAA	1-5	34.26	31,581	0.03	1	-	-	-	-
Dalton	7-AAAA	0-7	40.18	3,179	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Cedar Shoals	8-AAAA	0-6	33.84	6,651	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Cartersville)	7-AAAA	1-4	37.97	2,659	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Griffin	3-AAAA	0-5	39.07	2,459	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Druid Hills	5-AAAA	2-4	28.48	2,198	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Midtown	4-AAAA	2-3	28.49	1,741	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Locust Grove	2-AAAA	1-5	38.67	874	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Stockbridge)	2-AAAA	1-4	35.71	189	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Eagle's Landing Christian	2-AAAA	0-5	36.13	36	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Mundy's Mill	3-AAAA	0-6	28.16	36	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
North Springs	5-AAAA	1-5	18.14	23	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Forest Park	4-AAAA	1-4	10.00	6	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Northview	5-AAAA	0-6	11.46	3	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
McDonough	2-AAAA	0-5	28.99	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Keys	5-AAAA	0-4	1.35	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clarkston	5-AAAA	0-5	-11.28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Southeast Whitfield	7-AAAA	0-6	-14.01	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAA	Ware County	438,477	319,296	193,709	45,908	997,390	2,610
1-AAAA	Benedictine	351,105	352,799	254,791	39,519	998,214	1,786
1-AAAA	Warner Robins	201,875	302,653	400,521	87,805	992,854	7,146
1-AAAA	Perry	8,512	24,385	148,578	794,421	975,896	24,104
1-AAAA	New Hampstead	29	849	2,032	14,751	17,661	982,339
1-AAAA	Wayne County	2	18	369	17,596	17,985	982,015
2-AAAA	Ola	594,321	349,828	32,751	17,418	994,318	5,682
2-AAAA	Stockbridge	396,668	573,329	17,060	12,403	999,460	540
2-AAAA	Union Grove	8,382	26,419	28,325	279,603	342,729	657,271
2-AAAA	Jones County	350	40,370	823,478	108,122	972,320	27,680
2-AAAA	Hampton	279	9,252	29,698	368,542	407,771	592,229
2-AAAA	Eagle's Landing	-	802	68,581	212,920	282,303	717,697
2-AAAA	Locust Grove	-	-	95	779	874	999,126
2-AAAA	Eagle's Landing Christian	-	-	9	27	36	999,964
2-AAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	-	-	3	186	189	999,811
2-AAAA	McDonough	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
3-AAAA	Central (Carrollton)	734,930	169,632	59,811	29,892	994,265	5,735
3-AAAA	Harris County	148,243	196,296	419,626	211,117	975,282	24,718
3-AAAA	Starr's Mill	56,990	118,155	221,928	386,386	783,459	216,541
3-AAAA	Jonesboro	53,650	496,711	250,388	130,238	930,987	69,013
3-AAAA	Northside (Columbus)	6,187	19,185	47,976	240,164	313,512	686,488
3-AAAA	Griffin	-	21	269	2,169	2,459	997,541
3-AAAA	Mundy's Mill	-	-	2	34	36	999,964
4-AAAA	Creekside	990,057	9,238	390	310	999,995	5
4-AAAA	Maynard Jackson	8,370	219,519	660,393	83,011	971,293	28,707
4-AAAA	Mays	821	752,075	219,839	26,523	999,258	742
4-AAAA	Drew	749	18,895	40,984	695,841	756,469	243,531
4-AAAA	Pace Academy	3	242	77,093	162,319	239,657	760,343
4-AAAA	Midtown	-	18	424	1,299	1,741	998,259
4-AAAA	M.L. King	-	13	877	30,691	31,581	968,419
4-AAAA	Forest Park	-	-	-	6	6	999,994
5-AAAA	Marist	971,949	27,185	849	16	999,999	1
5-AAAA	St. Pius X	19,231	508,131	380,514	75,418	983,294	16,706
5-AAAA	Tucker	8,783	408,332	444,319	134,271	995,705	4,295
5-AAAA	Lithonia	37	3,221	17,005	247,407	267,670	732,330
5-AAAA	Southwest DeKalb	-	53,131	156,800	541,177	751,108	248,892
5-AAAA	Druid Hills	-	-	513	1,685	2,198	997,802
5-AAAA	North Springs	-	-	-	23	23	999,977
5-AAAA	Northview	-	-	-	3	3	999,997
5-AAAA	Clarkston	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAA	Cross Keys	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAA	Blessed Trinity	570,296	333,544	82,872	12,133	998,845	1,155
6-AAAA	Cambridge	374,307	484,377	120,581	18,295	997,560	2,440
6-AAAA	Kell	49,601	148,099	529,003	229,395	956,098	43,902
6-AAAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	5,407	29,510	234,093	536,535	805,545	194,455
6-AAAA	Centennial	389	4,470	33,451	203,642	241,952	758,048
7-AAAA	Cartersville	569,989	368,856	49,588	10,480	998,913	1,087
7-AAAA	Cedartown	406,656	496,172	96,890	277	999,995	5
7-AAAA	Hiram	23,201	124,574	728,773	96,680	973,228	26,772
7-AAAA	Allatoona	154	3,100	67,138	217,535	287,927	712,073
7-AAAA	Cass	-	7,290	56,872	669,937	734,099	265,901
7-AAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	-	8	724	1,927	2,659	997,341
7-AAAA	Dalton	-	-	15	3,164	3,179	996,821
7-AAAA	Southeast Whitfield	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAA	North Oconee	768,161	229,374	2,280	162	999,977	23
8-AAAA	Eastside	230,479	686,650	81,364	1,476	999,969	31
8-AAAA	East Forsyth	1,233	80,596	750,615	136,069	968,513	31,487
8-AAAA	Walnut Grove	106	2,899	88,426	317,663	409,094	590,906
8-AAAA	Madison County	21	398	62,495	291,567	354,481	645,519
8-AAAA	Flowery Branch	-	80	14,468	246,767	261,315	738,685
8-AAAA	Cedar Shoals	-	3	352	6,296	6,651	993,349

Class AAA Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Sandy Creek	2-AAA	5-0	79.25	999,998	4.23	882,583	755,064	618,508	431,679	1.32
Jefferson	8-AAA	4-2	76.20	1,000,000	3.91	827,501	650,966	477,746	261,296	2.83
Peach County	1-AAA	5-1	74.16	999,518	3.65	783,817	597,804	340,357	169,687	4.89
Douglass	5-AAA	3-2	65.88	996,989	2.72	552,573	268,922	87,147	24,542	39.75
Calhoun	7-AAA	2-3	65.71	999,154	2.69	547,725	256,416	83,178	23,281	41.95
Oconee County	8-AAA	2-3	65.87	991,513	2.46	449,175	203,013	69,664	19,546	50.16
Cairo	1-AAA	2-2	64.99	985,431	2.28	381,045	166,695	52,168	13,659	72.21
Westover	1-AAA	5-1	65.02	972,747	2.19	339,229	137,234	47,977	12,318	80.18
Whitewater	2-AAA	3-2	63.80	985,486	2.18	345,649	142,784	39,233	9,407	105.30
LaGrange	2-AAA	4-2	64.13	929,934	1.97	296,612	113,410	34,388	8,178	121.28
Cedar Grove	5-AAA	1-4	63.49	971,201	2.02	278,828	124,339	32,350	7,419	133.79
Troup	2-AAA	3-2	63.89	893,080	1.81	248,508	101,132	29,006	6,859	144.79
Cherokee Bluff	8-AAA	5-0	62.10	997,350	2.08	273,710	94,632	29,405	5,691	174.72
Harlem	4-AAA	4-0	57.44	999,748	2.08	296,185	93,967	18,609	2,206	452.31
Upson-Lee	2-AAA	3-3	58.96	922,854	1.55	151,983	42,487	8,063	1,203	830.26
Jenkins	3-AAA	3-2	56.60	998,122	1.70	161,425	35,339	6,503	763	1,309.62
Stephenson	5-AAA	2-3	56.72	826,110	1.27	105,883	26,036	3,800	487	2,052.39
Westside (Augusta)	4-AAA	5-0	53.74	997,456	1.70	157,501	35,508	4,702	392	2,550.02
North Hall	6-AAA	4-2	53.06	999,460	1.59	127,498	23,580	2,881	234	4,272.50
Long County	3-AAA	5-0	52.67	999,716	1.54	99,365	17,596	2,385	188	5,318.15
Monroe Area	8-AAA	4-1	54.26	835,483	1.20	77,660	14,374	1,797	174	5,746.13
Monroe	1-AAA	2-4	55.04	743,932	0.96	47,858	11,536	1,627	172	5,812.95
Lumpkin County	6-AAA	4-2	52.78	975,468	1.47	99,752	17,608	1,996	164	6,096.56
Adairsville	7-AAA	4-2	53.11	897,814	1.27	75,627	13,318	1,480	135	7,406.41
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	5-AAA	3-3	52.68	897,285	1.25	70,398	12,182	1,315	107	9,344.79
Northwest Whitfield	7-AAA	5-1	52.19	982,865	1.40	76,526	12,624	1,250	84	11,903.76
Mary Persons	2-AAA	0-5	53.89	272,297	0.38	22,028	3,657	408	32	31,249.00
Southeast Bulloch	3-AAA	4-1	50.52	959,102	1.30	53,148	7,477	672	22	45,453.55
Baldwin	4-AAA	1-3	50.38	643,804	0.83	31,966	4,546	340	20	49,999.00
Heritage (Ringgold)	7-AAA	4-2	48.00	847,849	1.09	34,762	4,019	248	13	76,922.08
West Laurens	4-AAA	4-1	48.10	864,540	1.10	32,572	3,757	267	10	99,999.00
Dougherty	1-AAA	2-4	51.32	146,823	0.18	5,306	964	94	10	99,999.00
Bainbridge	1-AAA	0-5	50.69	235,182	0.26	4,718	786	75	7	142,856.14
Howard	4-AAA	3-2	48.06	547,116	0.68	20,243	2,158	137	5	199,999.00
White County	6-AAA	2-4	46.66	788,851	0.88	12,225	1,318	70	4	249,999.00
Gilmer	7-AAA	2-3	47.02	500,941	0.60	13,455	1,394	75	2	499,999.00
Spalding	2-AAA	3-3	51.80	35,312	0.04	1,885	282	32	2	499,999.00
Luella	5-AAA	2-3	46.41	361,372	0.41	6,055	627	30	2	499,999.00
West Hall	8-AAA	4-2	44.75	291,154	0.33	4,768	333	16	-	-
Liberty County	3-AAA	2-3	38.29	92,901	0.10	355	11	1	-	-
Pickens	6-AAA	3-3	41.41	167,678	0.18	1,039	75	-	-	-
Beach	3-AAA	2-3	35.86	178,502	0.19	385	7	-	-	-
East Hall	8-AAA	3-3	39.20	42,614	0.04	93	7	-	-	-
North Clayton	5-AAA	3-2	37.90	55,277	0.06	126	5	-	-	-
Chestatee	6-AAA	2-4	36.26	82,273	0.08	111	4	-	-	-
Dawson County	6-AAA	1-4	35.88	50,526	0.05	53	4	-	-	-
Hephzibah	4-AAA	1-4	37.22	16,524	0.02	63	3	-	-	-
Richmond Academy	4-AAA	1-4	36.06	11,406	0.01	23	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Savannah)	3-AAA	2-3	29.30	3,980	0.00	4	-	-	-	-
Windsor Forest	3-AAA	1-4	32.79	4,606	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Ridgeland	7-AAA	1-5	17.16	475	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
LaFayette	7-AAA	0-6	13.67	87	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Creek	4-AAA	1-4	28.48	61	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Groves	3-AAA	1-4	17.28	19	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Riverdale	5-AAA	0-6	26.20	14	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Fayette County	2-AAA	1-5	22.01	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Islands	3-AAA	0-5	14.20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Gainesville)	6-AAA	0-5	0.05	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
8-AAA	Jefferson	424,117	892,564	991,492	1,000,000	-
2-AAA	Sandy Creek	362,224	958,478	997,971	999,998	2
4-AAA	Harlem	150,045	743,255	956,656	999,748	252
8-AAA	Cherokee Bluff	28,325	247,741	764,382	997,350	2,650
4-AAA	Westside (Augusta)	18,279	447,725	785,516	997,456	2,544
1-AAA	Peach County	10,628	833,694	970,268	999,518	482
3-AAA	Long County	4,154	263,883	748,594	999,716	284
8-AAA	Oconee County	839	236,638	657,769	991,513	8,487
1-AAA	Cairo	730	170,308	563,754	985,431	14,569
2-AAA	Whitewater	203	93,272	637,022	985,486	14,514
4-AAA	West Laurens	131	37,779	205,099	864,540	135,460
5-AAA	Douglass	107	844,770	943,465	996,989	3,011
2-AAA	Troup	104	19,170	143,032	893,080	106,920
1-AAA	Westover	46	113,338	535,024	972,747	27,253
8-AAA	Monroe Area	28	20,798	103,155	835,483	164,517
2-AAA	LaGrange	21	46,746	348,406	929,934	70,066
4-AAA	Howard	6	23,916	94,291	547,116	452,884
7-AAA	Calhoun	5	866,380	979,175	999,154	846
7-AAA	Northwest Whitfield	4	57,778	273,332	982,865	17,135
3-AAA	Jenkins	2	151,534	543,449	998,122	1,878
7-AAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	2	54,738	401,933	847,849	152,151
6-AAA	North Hall	-	418,658	734,781	999,460	540
6-AAA	Lumpkin County	-	173,769	458,944	975,468	24,532
5-AAA	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	-	54,564	152,897	897,285	102,715
5-AAA	Cedar Grove	-	50,671	684,162	971,201	28,799
3-AAA	Southeast Bulloch	-	49,366	290,804	959,102	40,898
5-AAA	Stephenson	-	44,146	175,410	826,110	173,890
4-AAA	Baldwin	-	27,921	179,173	643,804	356,196
1-AAA	Monroe	-	20,950	99,081	743,932	256,068
7-AAA	Gilmer	-	14,928	74,358	500,941	499,059
7-AAA	Adairsville	-	8,223	283,747	897,814	102,186
5-AAA	Luella	-	6,569	43,285	361,372	638,628
1-AAA	Bainbridge	-	1,375	8,544	235,182	764,818
1-AAA	Dougherty	-	1,222	11,551	146,823	853,177
6-AAA	Pickens	-	1,148	15,656	167,678	832,322
2-AAA	Upson-Lee	-	669	76,159	922,854	77,146
6-AAA	White County	-	472	48,895	788,851	211,149
5-AAA	North Clayton	-	234	2,305	55,277	944,723
2-AAA	Mary Persons	-	227	5,342	272,297	727,703
8-AAA	West Hall	-	217	7,187	291,154	708,846
6-AAA	Dawson County	-	63	1,170	50,526	949,474
2-AAA	Spalding	-	52	736	35,312	964,688
8-AAA	East Hall	-	20	486	42,614	957,386
4-AAA	Richmond Academy	-	18	251	11,406	988,594
6-AAA	Chestatee	-	7	1,071	82,273	917,727
3-AAA	Liberty County	-	5	150	92,901	907,099
4-AAA	Hephzibah	-	1	60	16,524	983,476
3-AAA	Beach	-	-	5	178,502	821,498
3-AAA	Johnson (Savannah)	-	-	3	3,980	996,020
7-AAA	Ridgeland	-	-	2	475	999,525
3-AAA	Windsor Forest	-	-	-	4,606	995,394
7-AAA	LaFayette	-	-	-	87	999,913
4-AAA	Cross Creek	-	-	-	61	999,939
3-AAA	Groves	-	-	-	19	999,981
5-AAA	Riverdale	-	-	-	14	999,986
2-AAA	Fayette County	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
3-AAA	Islands	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAA	Johnson (Gainesville)	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Class AA Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Pierce County	3-AA	5-0	75.90	1,000,000	4.23	904,646	751,220	590,711	446,579	1.24
Morgan County	2-AA	6-0	68.19	1,000,000	3.65	813,281	535,042	326,347	138,854	6.20
Carver (Columbus)	1-AA	5-1	68.17	1,000,000	3.58	789,689	546,531	285,246	133,976	6.46
Burke County	4-AA	4-1	68.19	1,000,000	3.60	805,119	543,689	288,086	125,119	6.99
Appling County	3-AA	3-2	67.41	999,905	3.17	696,765	377,796	174,790	78,939	11.67
Rockmart	7-AA	4-2	61.43	1,000,000	3.02	659,841	321,271	112,961	28,725	33.81
Hapeville Charter	5-AA	1-3	61.59	999,679	2.57	483,346	191,203	62,188	17,744	55.36
Sumter County	1-AA	6-0	58.33	1,000,000	2.44	430,621	131,526	36,825	7,944	124.88
Stephens County	8-AA	4-2	59.12	999,988	2.11	250,361	95,675	25,782	5,714	174.01
Thomson	4-AA	3-2	57.54	999,997	2.31	391,454	122,683	27,592	5,409	183.88
Callaway	2-AA	3-2	57.62	999,963	2.23	326,074	103,869	25,712	4,963	200.49
Westside (Macon)	2-AA	2-4	56.05	999,977	2.03	231,726	63,685	13,892	2,285	436.64
Carver (Atlanta)	5-AA	3-2	55.03	998,297	1.85	197,063	49,125	9,427	1,473	677.89
Hart County	8-AA	3-3	54.93	997,584	1.73	143,969	38,694	6,873	1,020	979.39
Columbia	6-AA	0-6	48.99	999,504	2.00	248,573	37,331	4,175	354	2,823.86
Crisp County	3-AA	1-5	51.93	965,840	1.34	92,022	17,603	2,432	295	3,388.83
Cook	3-AA	2-4	51.49	974,318	1.32	83,415	15,421	2,046	216	4,628.63
Ringgold	7-AA	4-2	49.24	999,994	1.63	77,749	16,411	1,647	153	6,534.95
Spencer	1-AA	4-2	48.53	997,691	1.54	73,975	11,442	1,134	106	9,432.96
Laney	4-AA	3-2	47.51	999,972	1.50	75,877	10,984	910	71	14,083.51
East Jackson	8-AA	3-3	48.03	967,253	1.32	58,676	7,420	695	33	30,302.03
Union County	7-AA	3-3	44.03	997,816	1.37	42,764	4,203	273	19	52,630.58
Shaw	1-AA	3-3	42.27	999,899	1.31	32,000	2,446	113	4	249,999.00
North Murray	7-AA	3-2	42.03	986,201	1.21	24,752	1,778	74	2	499,999.00
South Atlanta	6-AA	2-4	37.40	983,946	1.25	25,529	1,198	32	2	499,999.00
Pike County	2-AA	4-1	38.46	999,851	1.21	12,189	717	14	1	999,999.00
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	5-AA	2-4	38.83	760,263	0.83	8,650	415	14	-	-
Jackson	2-AA	3-3	37.20	614,054	0.68	6,062	238	6	-	-
Sonoraville	7-AA	2-4	35.94	494,579	0.54	3,762	132	3	-	-
Miller Grove	6-AA	3-3	31.06	917,770	0.98	3,606	93	-	-	-
Redan	6-AA	2-4	30.47	919,747	0.97	2,539	62	-	-	-
Hardaway	1-AA	2-4	31.79	550,434	0.57	976	35	-	-	-
Lakeview Ft. Oglethorpe	7-AA	1-4	32.09	305,612	0.32	825	20	-	-	-
Butler	4-AA	2-2	27.04	985,413	1.02	1,280	19	-	-	-
Washington	5-AA	3-4	33.79	149,129	0.16	595	16	-	-	-
Franklin County	8-AA	3-3	30.63	112,735	0.12	185	7	-	-	-
Tattnall County	3-AA	1-4	27.98	67,352	0.07	21	-	-	-	-
Therrell	5-AA	1-5	30.47	12,663	0.01	13	-	-	-	-
Coahulla Creek	7-AA	0-5	22.79	33,506	0.03	9	-	-	-	-
Columbus	1-AA	1-5	14.08	5,683	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Salem	6-AA	1-4	14.11	180,976	0.18	-	-	-	-	-
Glenn Hills	4-AA	0-5	-3.69	10,663	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Josey	4-AA	0-5	-8.77	5,701	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Kendrick	1-AA	1-5	11.08	4,167	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Rutland	2-AA	0-6	18.28	1,679	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Murray County	7-AA	1-5	-1.40	194	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Jordan	1-AA	0-6	-3.62	5	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
2-AA	Morgan County	798,901	957,812	999,999	1,000,000	-
1-AA	Carver (Columbus)	105,083	960,647	999,921	1,000,000	-
3-AA	Pierce County	60,173	870,652	997,346	1,000,000	-
1-AA	Sumter County	28,897	768,324	997,829	1,000,000	-
7-AA	Rockmart	5,274	947,024	999,175	1,000,000	-
4-AA	Burke County	1,048	837,010	990,504	1,000,000	-
2-AA	Callaway	446	290,555	793,120	999,963	37
8-AA	Stephens County	96	77,607	628,257	999,988	12
2-AA	Pike County	35	10,360	304,005	999,851	149
3-AA	Appling County	16	309,826	870,763	999,905	95
5-AA	Carver (Atlanta)	13	86,351	371,905	998,297	1,703
2-AA	Westside (Macon)	6	198,587	815,268	999,977	23
1-AA	Spencer	6	69,750	490,939	997,691	2,309
5-AA	Hapeville Charter	4	306,234	746,019	999,679	321
7-AA	Union County	1	17,008	323,875	997,816	2,184
1-AA	Shaw	1	9,634	188,020	999,899	101
6-AA	Columbia	-	764,392	953,594	999,504	496
4-AA	Thomson	-	175,365	819,621	999,997	3
6-AA	South Atlanta	-	154,266	600,877	983,946	16,054
6-AA	Miller Grove	-	42,927	230,679	917,770	82,230
6-AA	Redan	-	38,110	208,643	919,747	80,253
4-AA	Laney	-	35,342	257,323	999,972	28
7-AA	Ringgold	-	34,286	841,216	999,994	6
3-AA	Crisp County	-	12,638	88,242	965,840	34,160
3-AA	Cook	-	9,180	81,789	974,318	25,682
8-AA	Hart County	-	8,639	240,468	997,584	2,416
7-AA	North Murray	-	5,382	79,068	986,201	13,799
2-AA	Jackson	-	888	13,547	614,054	385,946
8-AA	East Jackson	-	628	48,655	967,253	32,747
6-AA	Salem	-	305	6,208	180,976	819,024
4-AA	Butler	-	145	2,927	985,413	14,587
5-AA	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	-	118	6,211	760,263	239,737
1-AA	Hardaway	-	2	1,656	550,434	449,566
3-AA	Tattnall County	-	2	382	67,352	932,648
5-AA	Washington	-	2	32	149,129	850,871
7-AA	Sonoraville	-	1	1,884	494,579	505,421
5-AA	Therrell	-	1	16	12,663	987,337
8-AA	Franklin County	-	-	9	112,735	887,265
2-AA	Rutland	-	-	6	1,679	998,321
7-AA	Lakeview Ft. Oglethorpe	-	-	1	305,612	694,388
1-AA	Columbus	-	-	1	5,683	994,317
7-AA	Coahulla Creek	-	-	-	33,506	966,494
4-AA	Glenn Hills	-	-	-	10,663	989,337
4-AA	Josey	-	-	-	5,701	994,299
1-AA	Kendrick	-	-	-	4,167	995,833
7-AA	Murray County	-	-	-	194	999,806
1-AA	Jordan	-	-	-	5	999,995

Class A Division I Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Toombs County	3-A Division I	5-0	75.19	1,000,000	4.23	923,763	750,508	569,634	419,866	1.38
Thomasville	1-A Division I	5-1	72.37	1,000,000	3.99	899,839	671,871	444,853	277,803	2.60
Fannin County	7-A Division I	6-0	65.31	1,000,000	3.58	826,909	501,759	311,177	101,291	8.87
Fitzgerald	1-A Division I	3-1	66.55	999,997	3.40	776,236	440,822	231,423	90,755	10.02
Northeast	2-A Division I	4-1	63.94	1,000,000	3.24	718,648	417,947	169,892	54,494	17.35
Dublin	2-A Division I	5-0	61.64	1,000,000	3.00	649,943	329,906	108,903	30,061	32.27
Dodge County	2-A Division I	6-0	58.45	1,000,000	2.72	548,410	240,450	62,007	12,850	76.82
Rabun County	8-A Division I	5-1	57.28	999,989	2.37	360,847	141,035	37,406	6,801	146.04
Commerce	8-A Division I	3-3	54.03	998,390	2.02	232,996	64,110	11,946	1,671	597.44
Worth County	1-A Division I	2-3	53.56	959,540	1.70	156,229	42,153	8,138	1,015	984.22
Lamar County	4-A Division I	4-1	50.29	999,970	2.12	300,470	80,401	11,545	991	1,008.08
Temple	6-A Division I	5-1	50.39	999,667	2.09	290,297	80,168	11,000	933	1,070.81
Heard County	6-A Division I	3-2	48.50	940,025	1.64	167,567	38,009	3,971	275	3,635.36
Elbert County	8-A Division I	2-4	49.77	904,250	1.35	108,813	24,709	2,818	244	4,097.36
Vidalia	3-A Division I	3-2	49.51	897,429	1.35	97,502	21,432	2,450	201	4,974.12
Bremen	6-A Division I	3-3	47.95	943,327	1.50	117,201	23,674	2,148	153	6,534.95
Jeff Davis	1-A Division I	4-2	48.39	960,728	1.46	93,736	19,141	2,031	144	6,943.44
ACE Charter	2-A Division I	3-2	47.56	968,505	1.51	83,328	16,813	1,799	110	9,089.91
Bacon County	1-A Division I	4-2	46.84	957,155	1.41	75,656	13,593	1,227	68	14,704.88
Swainsboro	3-A Division I	1-5	47.68	660,626	0.80	35,295	6,223	736	55	18,180.82
Social Circle	4-A Division I	4-2	43.77	996,340	1.61	106,487	15,941	1,154	53	18,866.92
Gordon Lee	7-A Division I	4-2	44.02	999,992	1.61	93,132	16,217	1,099	48	20,832.33
Jasper County	4-A Division I	4-1	42.76	999,913	1.52	70,602	9,775	669	36	27,776.78
Bleckley County	2-A Division I	2-3	46.52	720,944	0.94	44,116	7,028	590	28	35,713.29
Putnam County	4-A Division I	2-4	42.41	964,601	1.27	50,509	6,567	372	20	49,999.00
Chattooga	7-A Division I	5-1	41.60	999,994	1.46	54,215	7,119	366	15	66,665.67
Washington County	2-A Division I	3-3	43.43	843,131	1.10	35,963	4,689	291	10	99,999.00
Southwest	2-A Division I	2-4	42.59	789,328	1.00	32,425	4,188	233	8	124,999.00
East Laurens	2-A Division I	2-3	37.43	568,873	0.65	8,966	710	31	1	999,999.00
Dade County	7-A Division I	2-4	37.76	966,439	1.19	16,855	1,363	44	-	-
McNair	4-A Division I	2-4	39.26	640,736	0.75	12,299	943	36	-	-
Model	6-A Division I	2-3	38.39	357,099	0.41	7,048	624	11	-	-
B.E.S.T. Academy	5-A Division I	4-2	28.69	606,319	1.64	1,393	41	-	-	-
Pepperell	6-A Division I	0-6	36.32	108,340	0.11	644	41	-	-	-
Armuchee	7-A Division I	3-3	22.81	788,268	0.81	519	13	-	-	-
Brantley County	1-A Division I	1-4	33.19	160,332	0.16	384	9	-	-	-
Towers	4-A Division I	2-2	24.12	758,708	0.78	503	6	-	-	-
Gordon Central	7-A Division I	3-3	22.37	449,838	0.46	198	1	-	-	-
Haralson County	6-A Division I	1-5	30.29	18,378	0.02	29	1	-	-	-
Coosa	7-A Division I	2-4	19.18	56,480	0.06	19	-	-	-	-
Banks County	8-A Division I	0-5	25.33	10,705	0.01	3	-	-	-	-
Oglethorpe County	8-A Division I	0-6	26.23	3,277	0.00	3	-	-	-	-
Berrien	1-A Division I	0-5	25.19	1,873	0.00	3	-	-	-	-
Jefferson County	2-A Division I	0-5	23.09	494	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Macon)	2-A Division I	0-6	11.51	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Utopian Academy	4-A Division I	0-5	-18.59	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
7-A Division I	Fannin County	882,882	991,246	1,000,000	1,000,000	-
3-A Division I	Toombs County	41,611	938,500	999,944	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Thomasville	25,178	840,037	998,966	1,000,000	-
7-A Division I	Chattooga	16,273	329,611	953,913	999,997	3
2-A Division I	Dublin	13,259	706,653	997,213	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Fitzgerald	7,896	701,652	994,296	999,995	5
2-A Division I	Northeast	7,210	728,553	996,971	1,000,000	-
2-A Division I	Dodge County	4,577	334,375	984,927	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Rabun County	534	378,374	921,803	999,979	21
4-A Division I	Lamar County	377	577,635	936,820	999,765	235
4-A Division I	Jasper County	123	155,592	691,668	999,686	314
7-A Division I	Gordon Lee	52	7,556	567,603	997,881	2,119
6-A Division I	Temple	20	174,046	554,049	980,082	19,918
1-A Division I	Bacon County	4	4,563	128,156	895,475	104,525
1-A Division I	Jeff Davis	3	7,669	225,189	958,592	41,408
6-A Division I	Bremen	1	469,214	754,020	989,829	10,171
4-A Division I	Putnam County	-	271,502	637,169	993,433	6,567
6-A Division I	Heard County	-	151,691	360,936	854,489	145,511
8-A Division I	Elbert County	-	82,284	277,863	952,325	47,675
4-A Division I	Social Circle	-	54,345	215,125	850,565	149,435
8-A Division I	Commerce	-	42,774	297,364	971,351	28,649
1-A Division I	Worth County	-	16,728	269,326	957,793	42,207
4-A Division I	McNair	-	15,835	77,896	721,398	278,602
6-A Division I	Model	-	8,558	56,201	480,455	519,545
2-A Division I	ACE Charter	-	2,332	341,191	954,567	45,433
3-A Division I	Vidalia	-	2,194	48,555	864,180	135,820
6-A Division I	Pepperell	-	1,486	7,419	85,936	914,064
7-A Division I	Dade County	-	1,444	311,400	958,278	41,722
3-A Division I	Swainsboro	-	1,228	16,896	671,782	328,218
6-A Division I	Haralson County	-	756	4,717	78,613	921,387
5-A Division I	B.E.S.T. Academy	-	651	32,065	650,536	349,464
2-A Division I	Washington County	-	416	142,721	857,142	142,858
2-A Division I	Southwest	-	284	118,574	819,843	180,157
4-A Division I	Towers	-	113	12,301	692,224	307,776
1-A Division I	Brantley County	-	70	1,858	193,739	806,261
7-A Division I	Gordon Central	-	20	9,186	501,407	498,593
2-A Division I	Bleckley County	-	8	12,460	700,689	299,311
1-A Division I	Berrien	-	3	62	16,182	983,818
7-A Division I	Armuchee	-	1	21,920	725,057	274,943
8-A Division I	Banks County	-	1	16	6,038	993,962
2-A Division I	East Laurens	-	-	21,093	561,927	438,073
7-A Division I	Coosa	-	-	130	54,342	945,658
8-A Division I	Oglethorpe County	-	-	18	3,950	996,050
2-A Division I	Jefferson County	-	-	-	476	999,524
2-A Division I	Central (Macon)	-	-	-	2	999,998
4-A Division I	Utopian Academy	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Class A Division II

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Irwin County	2-A Division II	5-0	65.90	999,256	4.00	867,909	722,750	483,319	306,055	2.27
Manchester	7-A Division II	4-1	64.27	999,932	3.95	883,928	660,914	431,620	242,146	3.13
Bowdon	7-A Division II	5-1	63.34	999,853	3.84	862,197	619,540	393,627	203,109	3.92
Brooks County	2-A Division II	3-3	62.83	999,094	3.52	774,648	552,097	336,083	165,183	5.05
Clinch County	2-A Division II	5-0	55.90	982,271	2.49	500,027	265,480	91,361	27,208	35.75
Trion	7-A Division II	6-1	54.01	997,757	2.71	583,967	271,721	69,226	17,690	55.53
Lincoln County	8-A Division II	5-0	54.57	989,181	2.17	417,066	159,964	53,374	15,336	64.21
Greene County	8-A Division II	5-1	52.35	978,945	1.88	310,052	111,948	31,392	7,511	132.14
Metter	3-A Division II	3-1	49.48	981,697	2.07	259,365	68,032	17,576	3,145	316.97
Pelham	1-A Division II	2-4	47.28	965,597	2.18	249,508	87,924	16,009	2,300	433.78
Seminole County	1-A Division II	4-2	48.22	916,374	2.04	245,725	68,183	13,546	2,198	453.96
Early County	1-A Division II	3-3	47.60	931,284	1.94	177,846	57,513	10,691	1,669	598.16
Jenkins County	3-A Division II	4-1	47.29	992,004	1.97	225,593	46,977	9,514	1,440	693.44
Warren County	8-A Division II	4-2	47.43	928,467	1.34	133,216	35,717	7,035	1,059	943.29
Macon County	6-A Division II	4-3	44.32	999,997	2.12	354,783	55,631	7,821	898	1,112.59
Wheeler County	4-A Division II	5-1	45.05	997,032	1.74	155,936	42,921	6,169	710	1,407.45
McIntosh County Academy	3-A Division II	4-1	45.05	969,355	1.80	175,011	30,288	5,061	602	1,660.13
Charlton County	2-A Division II	4-2	45.64	899,044	1.32	125,511	23,113	3,442	422	2,368.67
Emanuel County Institute	3-A Division II	3-2	45.59	718,133	1.22	100,207	24,487	2,951	402	2,486.56
Wilcox County	4-A Division II	3-2	43.92	946,023	1.52	111,702	23,330	3,025	321	3,114.26
Mitchell County	1-A Division II	4-1	43.00	812,831	1.51	92,650	19,317	2,400	245	4,080.63
Schley County	6-A Division II	3-4	41.45	998,974	1.25	66,499	11,505	1,153	102	9,802.92
Taylor County	6-A Division II	4-1	40.32	991,830	1.41	111,176	13,516	1,218	89	11,234.96
Telfair County	4-A Division II	3-2	41.10	896,562	1.30	68,586	10,306	992	68	14,704.88
Johnson County	5-A Division II	3-2	38.68	997,754	1.38	33,605	4,910	523	32	31,249.00
Lake Oconee Academy	8-A Division II	5-1	39.26	702,972	0.77	16,926	3,139	241	20	49,999.00
Miller County	1-A Division II	4-2	39.07	328,550	0.54	18,240	2,300	199	18	55,554.56
Wilkinson County	5-A Division II	2-3	37.12	996,769	1.33	25,138	3,108	265	13	76,922.08
Dooly County	4-A Division II	0-5	36.83	639,332	0.79	17,170	1,284	84	5	199,999.00
Hawkinsville	4-A Division II	3-2	34.18	421,359	0.49	6,619	350	18	2	499,999.00
Washington-Wilkes	8-A Division II	3-3	34.98	400,435	0.42	3,674	506	23	1	999,999.00
Screven County	3-A Division II	2-2	31.99	90,942	0.11	1,257	76	1	1	999,999.00
Portal	3-A Division II	2-3	35.08	229,118	0.29	5,604	523	21	-	-
Hancock Central	5-A Division II	2-3	30.44	977,182	1.11	6,444	367	15	-	-
Greenville	7-A Division II	3-3	27.15	974,860	1.09	9,249	161	4	-	-
Chattahoochee County	6-A Division II	1-4	23.05	345,069	0.35	89	3	1	-	-
Turner County	2-A Division II	0-5	30.97	89,026	0.10	858	25	-	-	-
Randolph-Clay	1-A Division II	2-3	31.45	45,352	0.06	527	23	-	-	-
Bryan County	3-A Division II	3-3	32.12	18,746	0.02	302	17	-	-	-
Mount Zion (Carroll)	7-A Division II	3-4	28.22	27,598	0.03	373	13	-	-	-
Treutlen	4-A Division II	1-4	26.13	85,911	0.09	202	6	-	-	-
Glascock County	5-A Division II	1-4	19.31	728,631	0.75	240	4	-	-	-
Lanier County	2-A Division II	1-5	29.24	31,309	0.03	184	4	-	-	-
Crawford County	6-A Division II	2-3	22.60	311,178	0.31	75	4	-	-	-
Marion County	6-A Division II	1-4	23.13	352,572	0.35	106	3	-	-	-
Twiggs County	5-A Division II	1-4	10.84	283,387	0.29	6	-	-	-	-
Montgomery County	4-A Division II	2-3	19.55	13,781	0.01	4	-	-	-	-
Georgia Military Prep	5-A Division II	0-5	-2.86	16,277	0.02	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Talbotton)	6-A Division II	1-3	-7.36	380	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Terrell County	1-A Division II	2-4	5.20	12	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Claxton	3-A Division II	0-6	12.87	4	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Savannah	3-A Division II	0-4	5.13	1	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Atkinson County	2-A Division II	4-2	14.18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Calhoun County	1-A Division II	2-3	11.76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Towns County	8-A Division II	3-3	9.93	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Baconton Charter	1-A Division II	0-6	-2.72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Pataula Charter	1-A Division II	1-4	-5.66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Southwest Georgia STEM	1-A Division II	2-2	-26.00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Spring Creek	1-A Division II	0-3	-61.36	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs
7-A Division I	Fannin County	856,143	990,060	1,000,000	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Thomasville	53,277	929,300	999,942	1,000,000	-
3-A Division I	Toombs County	39,924	942,036	999,911	1,000,000	-
2-A Division I	Dublin	14,458	634,119	995,150	1,000,000	-
2-A Division I	Dodge County	14,088	514,600	999,402	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Fitzgerald	11,557	760,936	993,743	999,997	3
2-A Division I	Northeast	8,710	734,451	996,396	1,000,000	-
4-A Division I	Lamar County	644	594,237	955,076	999,970	30
7-A Division I	Chattooga	353	37,827	727,271	999,994	6
8-A Division I	Rabun County	280	287,033	878,852	999,989	11
4-A Division I	Jasper County	250	169,482	685,510	999,913	87
7-A Division I	Gordon Lee	222	28,452	905,487	999,992	8
6-A Division I	Temple	85	551,091	901,743	999,667	333
1-A Division I	Bacon County	7	9,075	177,367	957,155	42,845
4-A Division I	Social Circle	2	292,367	730,753	996,340	3,660
6-A Division I	Heard County	-	243,523	499,211	940,025	59,975
8-A Division I	Commerce	-	99,528	548,281	998,390	1,610
6-A Division I	Bremen	-	65,159	317,085	943,327	56,673
4-A Division I	Putnam County	-	56,807	183,055	964,601	35,399
8-A Division I	Elbert County	-	24,133	61,465	904,250	95,750
1-A Division I	Worth County	-	14,368	238,650	959,540	40,460
6-A Division I	Model	-	7,713	28,070	357,099	642,901
1-A Division I	Jeff Davis	-	4,272	166,293	960,728	39,272
3-A Division I	Vidalia	-	2,999	54,860	897,429	102,571
2-A Division I	ACE Charter	-	2,301	385,965	968,505	31,495
4-A Division I	McNair	-	1,799	58,161	640,736	359,264
3-A Division I	Swainsboro	-	1,138	15,518	660,626	339,374
2-A Division I	Washington County	-	387	105,147	843,131	156,869
7-A Division I	Dade County	-	235	250,685	966,439	33,561
5-A Division I	B.E.S.T. Academy	-	223	19,081	606,319	393,681
4-A Division I	Towers	-	146	13,735	758,708	241,292
6-A Division I	Pepperell	-	135	4,949	108,340	891,660
1-A Division I	Brantley County	-	25	1,581	160,332	839,668
6-A Division I	Haralson County	-	23	283	18,378	981,622
2-A Division I	Bleckley County	-	9	9,972	720,944	279,056
7-A Division I	Gordon Central	-	9	4,393	449,838	550,162
8-A Division I	Banks County	-	2	20	10,705	989,295
2-A Division I	Southwest	-	-	58,601	789,328	210,672
2-A Division I	East Laurens	-	-	19,017	568,873	431,127
7-A Division I	Armuchee	-	-	9,212	788,268	211,732
7-A Division I	Coosa	-	-	65	56,480	943,520
8-A Division I	Oglethorpe County	-	-	42	3,277	996,723
1-A Division I	Berrien	-	-	-	1,873	998,127
2-A Division I	Jefferson County	-	-	-	494	999,506
2-A Division I	Central (Macon)	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
4-A Division I	Utopian Academy	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

AAA to A Private

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Savannah Christian	3-A Division I	5-0	77.50	1,000,000	4.38	948,141	800,006	635,921	457,058	1.19
Hebron Christian	8-AA	5-1	72.56	1,000,000	3.93	890,712	629,771	408,072	199,376	4.02
Prince Avenue Christian	8-AA	3-3	73.11	1,000,000	3.73	828,556	565,439	342,400	177,471	4.63
Lovett	5-AA	6-0	66.45	1,000,000	3.50	833,831	468,738	200,891	63,179	14.83
Calvary Day	3-AAA	4-1	65.81	1,000,000	3.40	814,681	434,297	149,894	47,908	19.87
Athens Academy	8-A Division I	6-0	63.03	1,000,000	3.22	766,584	354,430	108,801	26,788	36.33
Fellowship Christian	5-A Division I	4-2	62.50	1,000,000	4.10	693,090	329,188	98,070	22,651	43.15
Wesleyan	5-A Division I	5-1	56.21	1,000,000	3.41	370,876	112,061	19,501	2,480	402.23
Whitefield Academy	5-A Division I	4-2	53.37	1,000,000	3.50	442,272	89,122	13,051	1,227	814.00
North Cobb Christian	7-AA	5-0	53.06	1,000,000	2.42	400,077	75,513	10,542	976	1,023.59
Greater Atlanta Christian	6-AAA	3-3	52.19	1,000,000	2.26	306,768	60,503	7,515	646	1,546.99
Christian Heritage	7-A Division I	5-1	45.85	1,000,000	2.13	213,564	20,598	1,339	57	17,542.86
Mount Vernon	5-A Division I	3-2	48.41	1,000,000	2.77	90,105	13,924	1,018	50	19,999.00
Holy Innocents	5-AA	3-3	48.11	1,000,000	1.63	69,248	10,214	712	47	21,275.60
Darlington	6-A Division I	4-2	46.20	1,000,000	1.82	117,383	14,346	1,034	39	25,640.03
Savannah Country Day	3-A Division I	2-3	47.13	1,000,000	1.55	55,224	7,441	473	22	45,453.55
Aquinas	4-AAA	2-2	46.71	1,000,000	1.62	58,471	7,876	533	19	52,630.58
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	2-AAA	1-5	43.62	1,000,000	1.27	27,034	2,449	111	3	333,332.33
Landmark Christian	5-A Division I	4-1	40.23	1,000,000	2.59	51,104	3,110	104	3	333,332.33
King's Ridge Christian	5-A Division I	5-1	36.54	1,000,000	2.31	8,832	450	9	-	-
Providence Christian	8-A Division I	1-4	35.56	1,000,000	1.14	5,738	187	5	-	-
Mount Paran Christian	5-A Division I	4-2	35.92	1,000,000	2.27	7,159	334	4	-	-
Mount Pisgah Christian	5-A Division I	0-6	23.08	1,000,000	2.02	492	3	-	-	-
St. Francis	5-A Division I	0-6	14.57	1,000,000	2.01	58	-	-	-	-
Walker	5-A Division I	2-4	-7.28	1,000,000	2.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
3-A Division I	Savannah Christian	572,557	973,035	999,992	1,000,000	-
8-AA	Hebron Christian	167,565	839,493	999,972	1,000,000	-
5-AA	Lovett	116,632	878,225	999,966	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Athens Academy	44,198	830,144	999,878	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Fellowship Christian	35,784	649,942	999,955	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Whitefield Academy	20,058	557,149	999,395	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Wesleyan	18,543	262,154	993,594	1,000,000	-
7-AA	North Cobb Christian	16,537	487,713	995,949	1,000,000	-
7-A Division I	Christian Heritage	3,632	438,290	995,436	1,000,000	-
3-AAA	Calvary Day	2,686	902,907	999,880	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Landmark Christian	1,725	96,063	967,302	1,000,000	-
8-AA	Prince Avenue Christian	59	483,326	972,059	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	Darlington	13	169,100	638,933	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Vernon	11	1,034	892,839	1,000,000	-
6-AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	-	413,283	786,790	1,000,000	-
4-AAA	Aquinas	-	12,356	317,683	1,000,000	-
5-AA	Holy Innocents	-	3,477	146,260	1,000,000	-
3-A Division I	Savannah Country Day	-	1,692	96,209	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Paran Christian	-	405	532,279	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Providence Christian	-	137	1,421	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	King's Ridge Christian	-	75	664,162	1,000,000	-
2-AAA	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	-	-	46	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Pisgah Christian	-	-	-	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	St. Francis	-	-	-	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Walker	-	-	-	1,000,000	-

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

Class AAAAAA

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Class AAAAA

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Class AAAA

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Class AAA Public

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Class AA Public

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Class A Division I Public

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Class A Division II

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AAA to A Private

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