Maxwell playoff projections heading into Week 2

August 20, 2021 - Kennesaw, Ga: Buford wide receiver Tobi Olawale (4) celebrates his receiving touchdown with running back Victor Venn (6) during the second half against North Cobb at North Cobb high school Friday, August 20, 2021 in Kennesaw, Ga.. Buford won 35-27. JASON GETZ FOR THE ATLANTA JOURNAL-CONSTITUTION

By Loren Maxwell

Aug 21, 2024

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class in the GHSA.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2024 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 iterations.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Colquitt County	1-AAAAAA	1-0	99.93	998,375	3.47	633,369	538,517	391,507	259,997	2.85
Carrollton	2-AAAAAA	1-0	97.66	999,745	3.41	623,250	558,206	351,188	206,950	3.83
Mill Creek	8-AAAAAA	1-0	96.73	999,443	3.06	535,616	430,816	268,277	148,738	5.72
Buford	8-AAAAAA	0-1	95.34	999,207	2.85	470,281	366,578	215,489	109,607	8.12
Walton	5-AAAAAA	1-0	94.38	996,721	2.87	471,840	393,825	203,893	101,644	8.84
North Cobb	5-AAAAAA	1-0	91.19	992,976	2.42	335,508	262,310	115,659	45,946	20.76
Grayson	4-AAAAAA	0-1	88.39	999,768	2.92	668,041	222,441	99,409	34,156	28.28
North Gwinnett	7-AAAAAA	1-0	87.86	984,623	2.83	649,971	234,756	90,542	29,540	32.85
Douglas County	2-AAAAAA	1-0	86.89	992,525	1.86	196,327	133,512	46,529	13,522	72.95
Valdosta	1-AAAAAA	1-0	86.43	927,634	1.71	159,912	96,563	33,910	9,369	105.73
Norcross	7-AAAAAA	1-0	84.10	939,767	2.36	489,605	131,806	37,930	9,346	106.00
Collins Hill	8-AAAAAA	1-0	85.85	988,845	1.74	162,079	96,168	28,845	7,929	125.12
Westlake	2-AAAAAA	0-1	85.44	992,647	1.64	140,068	87,591	27,268	7,138	139.10
Camden County	1-AAAAAA	1-0	85.15	912,344	1.56	126,813	73,975	23,552	5,916	168.03
Parkview	7-AAAAAA	0-1	80.85	888,595	1.98	357,871	72,422	16,108	3,080	323.68
North Paulding	5-AAAAAA	1-0	81.88	931,642	1.38	75,730	38,519	9,325	1,886	529.22
McEachern	3-AAAAAA	0-1	77.55	986,305	1.88	264,432	46,960	7,992	1,184	843.59
Brookwood	7-AAAAAA	0-1	77.88	787,395	1.57	240,649	36,401	6,420	970	1,029.93
Newton	4-AAAAAA	0-1	77.35	991,649	1.98	277,524	40,166	7,047	960	1,040.67
Archer	4-AAAAAA	0-1	76.14	988,842	1.91	245,923	32,378	5,163	643	1,554.21
Lambert	6-AAAAAA	0-1	76.30	880,653	1.45	174,197	24,999	4,208	496	2,015.13
West Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	0-1	74.55	824,432	1.26	126,563	15,042	2,148	235	4,254.32
Harrison	3-AAAAAA	1-0	73.58	960,738	1.57	156,087	17,690	2,131	224	4,463.29
Lowndes	1-AAAAAA	1-0	76.81	647,198	0.81	21,549	8,475	1,250	138	7,245.38
South Gwinnett	4-AAAAAA	1-0	71.90	968,711	1.58	135,289	12,004	1,255	104	9,614.38
Marietta	5-AAAAAA	0-1	75.53	748,179	0.89	16,155	5,287	771	93	10,751.69
East Coweta	2-AAAAAA	0-1	74.82	911,734	1.04	18,493	5,725	757	81	12,344.68
Richmond Hill	1-AAAAAA	0-0	74.00	430,517	0.50	7,996	2,581	322	27	37,036.04
North Atlanta	6-AAAAAA	0-1	69.95	537,990	0.69	35,556	2,658	241	24	41,665.67
Peachtree Ridge	7-AAAAAA	0-1	70.07	369,316	0.57	45,913	3,164	276	20	49,999.00
Hillgrove	3-AAAAAA	1-0	67.32	813,230	1.04	39,132	2,140	136	10	99,999.00
North Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	1-0	68.38	490,782	0.61	24,805	1,620	132	6	166,665.67
Denmark	6-AAAAAA	0-1	68.06	465,367	0.57	22,786	1,440	101	6	166,665.67
Mountain View	8-AAAAAA	0-1	68.55	623,009	0.67	3,778	954	64	6	166,665.67
Alpharetta	6-AAAAAA	0-1	67.08	431,921	0.52	17,025	986	77	5	199,999.00
South Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	1-0	66.92	367,569	0.44	14,293	769	53	4	249,999.00
Pebblebrook	3-AAAAAA	1-0	62.78	603,881	0.70	11,405	340	15	-	-
Cherokee	5-AAAAAA	1-0	65.74	169,009	0.18	444	74	5	-	-
Dacula	8-AAAAAA	0-1	61.00	262,817	0.27	240	44	2	-	-
Tift County	1-AAAAAA	1-0	64.35	83,932	0.09	235	38	2	-	-
Osborne	3-AAAAAA	0-1	54.42	174,032	0.18	468	6	1	-	-
Wheeler	5-AAAAAA	0-1	64.18	139,182	0.14	250	23	-	-	-
Paulding County	3-AAAAAA	0-1	56.21	232,071	0.25	1,025	13	-	-	-
Campbell	3-AAAAAA	1-0	56.77	228,239	0.24	1,113	11	-	-	-
Duluth	7-AAAAAA	1-0	56.58	24,386	0.03	287	4	-	-	-
Central Gwinnett	8-AAAAAA	1-0	55.87	125,577	0.13	39	2	-	-	-
Chapel Hill	2-AAAAAA	0-1	54.22	103,349	0.10	23	1	-	-	-
Meadowcreek	7-AAAAAA	0-1	51.65	5,908	0.01	21	-	-	-	-
Grovetown	4-AAAAAA	0-1	43.76	27,916	0.03	13	-	-	-	-
Etowah	5-AAAAAA	0-1	55.44	22,291	0.02	5	-	-	-	-
Heritage (Conyers)	4-AAAAAA	0-1	42.37	22,073	0.02	4	-	-	-	-
Forsyth Central	6-AAAAAA	0-1	46.17	1,286	0.00	2	-	-	-	-
South Cobb	3-AAAAAA	0-1	37.97	1,504	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Discovery	8-AAAAAA	0-1	36.30	1,102	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Rockdale County	4-AAAAAA	1-0	31.08	1,041	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Berkmar	7-AAAAAA	1-0	33.96	10	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAA	Colquitt County	736,494	203,249	48,403	10,229	998,375	1,625
1-AAAAAA	Valdosta	139,538	362,301	284,180	141,615	927,634	72,366
1-AAAAAA	Camden County	103,396	287,724	337,848	183,376	912,344	87,656
1-AAAAAA	Lowndes	15,049	98,560	201,769	331,820	647,198	352,802
1-AAAAAA	Richmond Hill	5,321	45,145	111,768	268,283	430,517	569,483
1-AAAAAA	Tift County	202	3,021	16,032	64,677	83,932	916,068
2-AAAAAA	Carrollton	679,635	237,008	65,820	17,282	999,745	255
2-AAAAAA	Douglas County	190,015	380,732	298,602	123,176	992,525	7,475
2-AAAAAA	Westlake	111,758	315,684	416,548	148,657	992,647	7,353
2-AAAAAA	East Coweta	18,582	65,779	214,336	613,037	911,734	88,266
2-AAAAAA	Chapel Hill	10	797	4,694	97,848	103,349	896,651
3-AAAAAA	McEachern	575,045	271,399	104,846	35,015	986,305	13,695
3-AAAAAA	Harrison	299,976	391,985	191,913	76,864	960,738	39,262
3-AAAAAA	Hillgrove	80,364	187,604	319,144	226,118	813,230	186,770
3-AAAAAA	Pebblebrook	33,311	94,645	207,887	268,038	603,881	396,119
3-AAAAAA	Paulding County	4,734	21,531	64,642	141,164	232,071	767,929
3-AAAAAA	Campbell	4,233	19,283	62,396	142,327	228,239	771,761
3-AAAAAA	Osborne	2,336	13,543	49,005	109,148	174,032	825,968
3-AAAAAA	South Cobb	1	10	167	1,326	1,504	998,496
4-AAAAAA	Grayson	683,751	223,287	64,562	28,168	999,768	232
4-AAAAAA	Newton	136,845	295,549	314,060	245,195	991,649	8,351
4-AAAAAA	Archer	117,975	318,983	324,739	227,145	988,842	11,158
4-AAAAAA	South Gwinnett	61,420	161,796	293,731	451,764	968,711	31,289
4-AAAAAA	Grovetown	7	233	1,719	25,957	27,916	972,084
4-AAAAAA	Heritage (Conyers)	2	151	1,158	20,762	22,073	977,927
4-AAAAAA	Rockdale County	-	1	31	1,009	1,041	998,959
5-AAAAAA	Walton	578,415	304,535	91,286	22,485	996,721	3,279
5-AAAAAA	North Cobb	341,322	449,069	163,148	39,437	992,976	7,024
5-AAAAAA	North Paulding	62,900	179,047	468,534	221,161	931,642	68,358
5-AAAAAA	Marietta	16,315	58,218	218,183	455,463	748,179	251,821
5-AAAAAA	Cherokee	687	5,662	32,157	130,503	169,009	830,991
5-AAAAAA	Wheeler	351	3,313	23,983	111,535	139,182	860,818
5-AAAAAA	Etowah	10	156	2,709	19,416	22,291	977,709
6-AAAAAA	Lambert	381,200	247,381	153,996	98,076	880,653	119,347
6-AAAAAA	West Forsyth	297,346	237,834	168,825	120,427	824,432	175,568
6-AAAAAA	North Atlanta	90,856	129,553	154,217	163,364	537,990	462,010
6-AAAAAA	Denmark	69,335	106,388	134,567	155,077	465,367	534,633
6-AAAAAA	North Forsyth	67,469	111,167	146,888	165,258	490,782	509,218
6-AAAAAA	Alpharetta	51,401	91,580	131,610	157,330	431,921	568,079
6-AAAAAA	South Forsyth	42,385	76,046	109,669	139,469	367,569	632,431
6-AAAAAA	Forsyth Central	8	51	228	999	1,286	998,714
7-AAAAAA	North Gwinnett	527,930	272,252	128,537	55,904	984,623	15,377
7-AAAAAA	Norcross	242,576	303,853	247,227	146,111	939,767	60,233
7-AAAAAA	Parkview	144,880	232,612	280,565	230,538	888,595	111,405
7-AAAAAA	Brookwood	73,821	152,211	248,082	313,281	787,395	212,605
7-AAAAAA	Peachtree Ridge	10,695	38,339	90,979	229,303	369,316	630,684
7-AAAAAA	Duluth	88	642	3,868	19,788	24,386	975,614
7-AAAAAA	Meadowcreek	10	91	741	5,066	5,908	994,092
7-AAAAAA	Berkmar	-	-	1	9	10	999,990
8-AAAAAA	Mill Creek	508,491	338,999	141,221	10,732	999,443	557
8-AAAAAA	Buford	394,384	422,495	168,348	13,980	999,207	793
8-AAAAAA	Collins Hill	95,306	227,593	583,815	82,131	988,845	11,155
8-AAAAAA	Mountain View	1,713	9,413	77,942	533,941	623,009	376,991
8-AAAAAA	Dacula	100	1,276	22,834	238,607	262,817	737,183
8-AAAAAA	Central Gwinnett	6	224	5,832	119,515	125,577	874,423
8-AAAAAA	Discovery	-	-	8	1,094	1,102	998,898

Class AAAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Milton	7-AAAAA	1-0	100.35	999,982	4.19	883,597	751,427	572,728	425,169	1.35
Coffee	2-AAAAA	1-0	92.80	972,984	3.47	772,480	515,936	253,769	123,050	7.13
Lee County	2-AAAAA	1-0	92.34	973,200	3.48	772,567	526,697	249,266	118,018	7.47
Hughes	3-AAAAA	1-0	93.71	999,936	3.26	645,886	380,772	243,434	111,119	8.00
Rome	5-AAAAA	0-0	91.35	999,947	2.98	570,971	276,358	162,898	64,771	14.44
Gainesville	7-AAAAA	1-0	89.05	998,920	2.82	502,606	286,587	128,405	44,068	21.69
Woodward Academy	4-AAAAA	0-1	87.53	999,966	2.93	543,618	320,498	121,688	37,284	25.82
Thomas County Central	2-AAAAA	1-0	86.93	892,574	2.77	645,907	290,136	98,331	31,654	30.59
Roswell	7-AAAAA	1-0	87.33	998,404	2.64	444,558	229,250	88,417	27,146	35.84
Houston County	2-AAAAA	1-0	84.42	813,592	2.39	571,354	196,623	56,985	15,239	64.62
Creekview	6-AAAAA	1-0	74.79	987,444	1.71	236,937	45,273	5,739	722	1,384.04
Dutchtown	3-AAAAA	1-0	73.88	952,550	2.06	282,325	46,127	5,391	631	1,583.79
Northside (Warner Robins)	2-AAAAA	1-0	75.28	324,703	0.78	166,167	23,970	3,639	421	2,374.30
Brunswick	1-AAAAA	0-1	72.74	977,654	1.96	181,863	29,845	3,441	293	3,411.97
Sequoyah	6-AAAAA	1-0	72.50	978,981	1.54	172,201	27,499	2,775	265	3,772.58
Glynn Academy	1-AAAAA	1-0	67.66	904,138	1.55	86,642	9,320	697	48	20,832.33
Lovejoy	3-AAAAA	1-0	67.57	823,199	1.42	91,218	10,012	685	42	23,808.52
Lanier	7-AAAAA	0-1	67.15	860,843	1.27	104,441	8,930	480	21	47,618.05
Clarke Central	8-AAAAA	1-0	66.65	963,078	1.16	66,260	4,745	407	15	66,665.67
South Paulding	5-AAAAA	0-1	63.78	765,122	1.15	30,188	3,261	146	6	166,665.67
Effingham County	1-AAAAA	0-0	64.25	814,362	1.25	43,542	3,830	178	5	199,999.00
East Paulding	5-AAAAA	0-0	63.46	782,900	1.16	29,785	3,203	137	3	333,332.33
Newnan	3-AAAAA	1-0	61.98	543,771	0.76	20,311	1,503	73	3	333,332.33
Sprayberry	6-AAAAA	1-0	63.11	794,606	0.88	16,910	1,437	64	3	333,332.33
River Ridge	6-AAAAA	0-1	64.12	836,825	0.93	18,041	1,752	81	2	499,999.00
Kennesaw Mountain	5-AAAAA	0-1	59.54	556,176	0.75	11,491	695	29	1	999,999.00
Shiloh	4-AAAAA	0-1	56.88	783,271	0.94	8,713	390	11	1	999,999.00
Loganville	8-AAAAA	0-1	59.68	834,188	0.89	12,581	722	31	-	-
Evans	1-AAAAA	1-0	59.08	532,473	0.68	9,038	562	20	-	-
Northgate	3-AAAAA	0-1	60.13	418,271	0.55	8,893	569	18	-	-
Jackson County	8-AAAAA	1-0	57.26	724,555	0.75	5,764	286	9	-	-
Arabia Mountain	4-AAAAA	1-0	55.95	676,497	0.79	6,475	257	8	-	-
Statesboro	1-AAAAA	0-1	57.84	451,186	0.56	5,803	335	6	-	-
Decatur	4-AAAAA	0-0	55.11	649,199	0.75	5,185	197	5	-	-
Dunwoody	4-AAAAA	1-0	55.34	650,636	0.75	5,355	191	2	-	-
Habersham Central	8-AAAAA	0-1	55.83	631,951	0.65	3,590	161	2	-	-
Villa Rica	5-AAAAA	0-1	56.41	342,706	0.43	4,098	201	1	-	-
Veterans	2-AAAAA	0-1	61.55	22,947	0.04	3,600	134	1	-	-
McIntosh	3-AAAAA	1-0	52.88	116,582	0.13	588	29	1	-	-
Banneker	3-AAAAA	1-0	53.75	136,614	0.16	667	27	1	-	-
Lithia Springs	5-AAAAA	0-1	51.65	146,308	0.17	676	13	1	-	-
Winder-Barrow	8-AAAAA	1-0	54.23	540,603	0.55	2,078	107	-	-	-
New Manchester	5-AAAAA	1-0	52.75	205,726	0.24	1,194	38	-	-	-
Alexander	5-AAAAA	0-1	53.08	201,115	0.24	1,303	30	-	-	-
South Effingham	1-AAAAA	0-1	51.93	143,240	0.16	433	16	-	-	-
Pope	6-AAAAA	0-1	52.66	176,470	0.18	297	15	-	-	-
Lakeside (Evans)	1-AAAAA	1-0	50.88	105,318	0.12	252	13	-	-	-
Johns Creek	7-AAAAA	0-0	49.24	95,806	0.10	600	11	-	-	-
Alcovy	8-AAAAA	0-1	48.96	268,703	0.27	289	3	-	-	-
Chamblee	4-AAAAA	0-1	47.15	194,049	0.20	263	2	-	-	-
Chattahoochee	7-AAAAA	1-0	46.61	41,570	0.04	162	2	-	-	-
Bradwell Institute	1-AAAAA	1-0	48.65	51,339	0.06	76	1	-	-	-
Woodstock	6-AAAAA	1-0	49.52	96,229	0.10	74	1	-	-	-
Riverwood	6-AAAAA	0-1	49.42	99,825	0.10	54	1	-	-	-
Tri-Cities	4-AAAAA	0-0	39.19	42,234	0.04	12	-	-	-	-
Lassiter	6-AAAAA	1-0	45.03	29,620	0.03	8	-	-	-	-
Greenbrier	1-AAAAA	0-1	44.94	20,290	0.02	7	-	-	-	-
Morrow	3-AAAAA	1-0	42.47	9,077	0.01	3	-	-	-	-
Apalachee	8-AAAAA	0-1	40.01	36,922	0.04	1	-	-	-	-
Seckinger	7-AAAAA	1-0	34.41	4,475	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Lakeside (Atlanta)	4-AAAAA	0-1	32.30	4,148	0.00	1	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAA	Brunswick	550,829	259,284	120,184	47,357	977,654	22,346
1-AAAAA	Glynn Academy	237,831	309,287	229,333	127,687	904,138	95,862
1-AAAAA	Effingham County	144,305	234,683	256,572	178,802	814,362	185,638
1-AAAAA	Evans	36,393	96,741	169,766	229,573	532,473	467,527
1-AAAAA	Statesboro	24,935	73,161	139,253	213,837	451,186	548,814
1-AAAAA	South Effingham	3,406	14,032	39,625	86,177	143,240	856,760
1-AAAAA	Lakeside (Evans)	1,621	8,445	28,264	66,988	105,318	894,682
1-AAAAA	Bradwell Institute	570	3,474	12,639	34,656	51,339	948,661
1-AAAAA	Greenbrier	110	893	4,364	14,923	20,290	979,710
2-AAAAA	Lee County	411,732	300,824	174,291	86,353	973,200	26,800
2-AAAAA	Coffee	359,392	313,209	200,912	99,471	972,984	27,016
2-AAAAA	Thomas County Central	146,198	215,836	290,648	239,892	892,574	107,426
2-AAAAA	Houston County	74,886	142,484	257,679	338,543	813,592	186,408
2-AAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	7,725	27,199	73,252	216,527	324,703	675,297
2-AAAAA	Veterans	67	448	3,218	19,214	22,947	977,053
3-AAAAA	Hughes	917,910	75,348	5,912	766	999,936	64
3-AAAAA	Dutchtown	59,616	529,327	261,310	102,297	952,550	47,450
3-AAAAA	Lovejoy	15,921	248,393	341,632	217,253	823,199	176,801
3-AAAAA	Newnan	4,397	87,609	190,867	260,898	543,771	456,229
3-AAAAA	Northgate	1,952	44,737	132,740	238,842	418,271	581,729
3-AAAAA	Banneker	132	7,242	34,705	94,535	136,614	863,386
3-AAAAA	McIntosh	71	7,208	31,396	77,907	116,582	883,418
3-AAAAA	Morrow	1	136	1,438	7,502	9,077	990,923
4-AAAAA	Woodward Academy	969,392	28,792	1,533	249	999,966	34
4-AAAAA	Shiloh	10,589	327,457	253,897	191,328	783,271	216,729
4-AAAAA	Decatur	7,666	194,740	220,788	226,005	649,199	350,801
4-AAAAA	Arabia Mountain	6,444	218,742	231,065	220,246	676,497	323,503
4-AAAAA	Dunwoody	5,571	198,743	220,861	225,461	650,636	349,364
4-AAAAA	Chamblee	327	27,849	60,224	105,649	194,049	805,951
4-AAAAA	Tri-Cities	11	3,552	10,879	27,792	42,234	957,766
4-AAAAA	Lakeside (Atlanta)	-	125	753	3,270	4,148	995,852
5-AAAAA	Rome	959,534	37,615	2,504	294	999,947	53
5-AAAAA	South Paulding	18,989	327,160	247,716	171,257	765,122	234,878
5-AAAAA	East Paulding	13,236	323,475	264,530	181,659	782,900	217,100
5-AAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	5,758	161,205	194,649	194,564	556,176	443,824
5-AAAAA	Villa Rica	1,598	70,308	116,368	154,432	342,706	657,294
5-AAAAA	Alexander	454	31,337	64,330	104,994	201,115	798,885
5-AAAAA	New Manchester	301	29,432	64,897	111,096	205,726	794,274
5-AAAAA	Lithia Springs	130	19,468	45,006	81,704	146,308	853,692
6-AAAAA	Creekview	467,599	327,497	140,755	51,593	987,444	12,556
6-AAAAA	Sequoyah	390,822	341,458	173,831	72,870	978,981	21,019
6-AAAAA	Sprayberry	72,749	156,228	282,238	283,391	794,606	205,394
6-AAAAA	River Ridge	64,968	153,631	311,151	307,075	836,825	163,175
6-AAAAA	Pope	2,596	12,334	44,518	117,022	176,470	823,530
6-AAAAA	Riverwood	657	4,351	21,859	72,958	99,825	900,175
6-AAAAA	Woodstock	522	3,765	20,341	71,601	96,229	903,771
6-AAAAA	Lassiter	87	736	5,307	23,490	29,620	970,380
7-AAAAA	Milton	709,313	222,087	63,961	4,621	999,982	18
7-AAAAA	Gainesville	172,435	397,439	390,200	38,846	998,920	1,080
7-AAAAA	Roswell	116,453	368,535	447,813	65,603	998,404	1,596
7-AAAAA	Lanier	1,798	11,798	94,995	752,252	860,843	139,157
7-AAAAA	Chattahoochee	1	50	965	40,554	41,570	958,430
7-AAAAA	Johns Creek	-	91	2,048	93,667	95,806	904,194
7-AAAAA	Seckinger	-	-	18	4,457	4,475	995,525
8-AAAAA	Clarke Central	553,030	232,508	120,869	56,671	963,078	36,922
8-AAAAA	Loganville	183,840	274,789	219,878	155,681	834,188	165,812
8-AAAAA	Jackson County	115,529	187,435	217,856	203,735	724,555	275,445
8-AAAAA	Habersham Central	81,192	148,844	190,207	211,708	631,951	368,049
8-AAAAA	Winder-Barrow	53,967	112,918	162,806	210,912	540,603	459,397
8-AAAAA	Alcovy	12,027	40,818	79,193	136,665	268,703	731,297
8-AAAAA	Apalachee	415	2,688	9,191	24,628	36,922	963,078

Class AAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Marist	5-AAAA	1-0	91.17	999,996	3.44	698,340	582,555	381,813	254,423	2.93
Ware County	1-AAAA	1-0	89.11	971,442	3.43	729,245	517,816	322,772	189,907	4.27
Benedictine	1-AAAA	0-1	88.47	960,212	3.28	686,951	482,872	295,662	164,969	5.06
Cartersville	7-AAAA	1-0	86.82	993,667	3.32	752,141	421,315	265,808	133,941	6.47
Creekside	4-AAAA	0-0	84.69	999,943	3.14	696,072	344,863	165,684	81,273	11.30
Perry	1-AAAA	1-0	82.20	862,195	2.22	410,094	241,805	100,599	37,741	25.50
Warner Robins	1-AAAA	0-1	81.67	870,470	2.21	404,058	234,326	94,296	34,023	28.39
North Oconee	8-AAAA	1-0	81.23	999,357	2.54	369,988	185,944	94,827	32,639	29.64
Blessed Trinity	6-AAAA	1-0	79.26	992,693	2.48	486,208	212,298	77,804	23,440	41.66
Cedartown	7-AAAA	1-0	79.58	949,247	2.39	485,417	171,677	69,072	22,141	44.17
Stockbridge	2-AAAA	0-1	75.25	993,545	2.16	224,102	114,573	30,938	7,013	141.59
Jones County	2-AAAA	1-0	74.69	992,085	2.07	195,707	95,406	24,594	5,290	188.04
Starr's Mill	3-AAAA	1-0	73.76	973,725	2.20	342,510	85,737	20,198	4,371	227.78
Kell	6-AAAA	1-0	73.32	967,044	1.77	239,784	65,298	15,551	3,019	330.24
Eastside	8-AAAA	1-0	72.04	985,338	1.75	110,617	33,079	7,683	1,440	693.44
Mays	4-AAAA	1-0	70.30	991,487	1.87	185,836	36,968	7,725	1,158	862.56
Central (Carrollton)	3-AAAA	1-0	69.83	922,214	1.78	206,993	42,003	7,166	1,067	936.21
Cass	7-AAAA	1-0	70.84	700,485	1.17	130,282	25,592	4,577	728	1,372.63
Ola	2-AAAA	1-0	68.66	949,941	1.57	75,509	23,928	3,753	477	2,095.44
Cambridge	6-AAAA	1-0	67.60	882,836	1.24	92,585	14,250	2,110	226	4,423.78
Dalton	7-AAAA	0-1	68.25	543,201	0.83	74,075	11,989	1,615	189	5,290.01
Westminster (Atlanta)	6-AAAA	0-1	66.30	870,480	1.16	71,611	9,575	1,238	139	7,193.24
Wayne County	1-AAAA	0-1	68.44	199,885	0.28	18,698	5,595	775	88	11,362.64
St. Pius X	5-AAAA	0-1	65.03	990,313	1.16	34,510	9,149	964	68	14,704.88
Hiram	7-AAAA	1-0	66.35	422,897	0.60	44,787	6,327	693	65	15,383.62
Allatoona	7-AAAA	0-1	65.20	384,345	0.53	34,426	4,415	449	50	19,999.00
Harris County	3-AAAA	1-0	63.22	701,560	1.02	51,014	5,842	543	42	23,808.52
New Hampstead	1-AAAA	1-0	66.88	135,796	0.18	9,576	2,638	319	38	26,314.79
Jonesboro	3-AAAA	1-0	60.97	558,468	0.74	25,488	2,269	188	8	124,999.00
Flowery Branch	8-AAAA	0-1	61.24	852,786	1.08	13,930	2,236	142	8	124,999.00
Pace Academy	4-AAAA	1-0	59.71	905,398	1.20	36,684	2,940	184	7	142,856.14
Tucker	5-AAAA	0-1	58.30	940,480	0.99	7,017	838	52	3	333,332.33
Mundy's Mill	3-AAAA	0-1	57.73	345,146	0.42	8,053	553	40	3	333,332.33
Maynard Jackson	4-AAAA	1-0	57.64	857,442	1.08	22,808	1,422	61	2	499,999.00
Northside (Columbus)	3-AAAA	1-0	58.29	367,134	0.45	9,567	694	46	2	499,999.00
Eagle's Landing Christian	2-AAAA	0-1	58.30	566,850	0.66	4,748	517	37	2	499,999.00
Madison County	8-AAAA	0-0	55.35	547,064	0.62	3,004	299	9	-	-
Southwest DeKalb	5-AAAA	0-1	53.94	852,713	0.88	2,317	182	7	-	-
Centennial	6-AAAA	1-0	54.60	286,947	0.31	2,393	98	3	-	-
Griffin	3-AAAA	0-1	52.81	131,753	0.15	1,024	47	1	-	-
East Forsyth	8-AAAA	1-0	47.95	188,685	0.20	208	9	1	-	-
Union Grove	2-AAAA	0-1	50.00	110,481	0.12	138	5	1	-	-
Hampton	2-AAAA	1-0	52.19	184,937	0.20	414	16	-	-	-
Cedar Shoals	8-AAAA	0-1	49.26	230,976	0.25	339	15	-	-	-
Eagle's Landing	2-AAAA	0-1	50.13	146,731	0.15	221	12	-	-	-
Walnut Grove	8-AAAA	1-0	48.18	195,794	0.21	243	10	-	-	-
Drew	4-AAAA	1-0	43.33	137,916	0.14	153	2	-	-	-
McDonough	2-AAAA	0-1	45.47	36,618	0.04	19	1	-	-	-
M.L. King	4-AAAA	1-0	41.14	93,818	0.10	71	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Cartersville)	7-AAAA	1-0	46.44	6,158	0.01	18	-	-	-	-
Druid Hills	5-AAAA	1-0	38.50	97,174	0.10	3	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Stockbridge)	2-AAAA	0-1	43.30	16,583	0.02	3	-	-	-	-
North Springs	5-AAAA	0-1	35.24	41,749	0.04	1	-	-	-	-
Lithonia	5-AAAA	1-0	37.17	72,773	0.07	-	-	-	-	-
Midtown	4-AAAA	0-1	32.55	13,228	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Northview	5-AAAA	0-0	26.62	4,802	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Locust Grove	2-AAAA	0-1	37.93	2,229	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Forest Park	4-AAAA	0-1	23.30	768	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Southeast Whitfield	7-AAAA	0-1	17.65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clarkston	5-AAAA	0-1	6.33	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Keys	5-AAAA	0-0	-25.24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAA	Ware County	420,347	286,825	173,314	90,956	971,442	28,558
1-AAAA	Benedictine	323,383	303,062	212,420	121,347	960,212	39,788
1-AAAA	Perry	129,458	189,490	265,209	278,038	862,195	137,805
1-AAAA	Warner Robins	120,894	196,504	279,911	273,161	870,470	129,530
1-AAAA	Wayne County	4,108	15,884	42,854	137,039	199,885	800,115
1-AAAA	New Hampstead	1,810	8,235	26,292	99,459	135,796	864,204
2-AAAA	Stockbridge	453,274	324,297	181,752	34,222	993,545	6,455
2-AAAA	Jones County	365,938	358,012	221,551	46,584	992,085	7,915
2-AAAA	Ola	168,209	265,388	381,588	134,756	949,941	50,059
2-AAAA	Eagle's Landing Christian	10,904	40,681	138,527	376,738	566,850	433,150
2-AAAA	Hampton	814	5,400	32,491	146,232	184,937	815,063
2-AAAA	Eagle's Landing	455	3,220	21,520	121,536	146,731	853,269
2-AAAA	Union Grove	368	2,526	17,355	90,232	110,481	889,519
2-AAAA	McDonough	28	361	3,606	32,623	36,618	963,382
2-AAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	9	113	1,515	14,946	16,583	983,417
2-AAAA	Locust Grove	1	2	95	2,131	2,229	997,771
3-AAAA	Starr's Mill	557,160	258,212	113,794	44,559	973,725	26,275
3-AAAA	Central (Carrollton)	282,830	350,496	191,811	97,077	922,214	77,786
3-AAAA	Harris County	82,168	162,950	242,525	213,917	701,560	298,440
3-AAAA	Jonesboro	42,315	107,326	189,699	219,128	558,468	441,532
3-AAAA	Northside (Columbus)	17,121	55,910	116,327	177,776	367,134	632,866
3-AAAA	Mundy's Mill	15,692	52,667	108,155	168,632	345,146	654,854
3-AAAA	Griffin	2,714	12,439	37,689	78,911	131,753	868,247
4-AAAA	Creekside	848,821	136,732	12,495	1,895	999,943	57
4-AAAA	Mays	124,436	593,919	209,852	63,280	991,487	8,513
4-AAAA	Pace Academy	17,512	155,532	403,576	328,778	905,398	94,602
4-AAAA	Maynard Jackson	9,124	108,141	328,824	411,353	857,442	142,558
4-AAAA	Drew	70	3,536	26,876	107,434	137,916	862,084
4-AAAA	M.L. King	36	2,058	16,927	74,797	93,818	906,182
4-AAAA	Midtown	1	80	1,409	11,738	13,228	986,772
4-AAAA	Forest Park	-	2	41	725	768	999,232
5-AAAA	Marist	945,660	52,403	1,766	167	999,996	4
5-AAAA	St. Pius X	44,237	585,858	266,724	93,494	990,313	9,687
5-AAAA	Tucker	7,552	241,885	415,509	275,534	940,480	59,520
5-AAAA	Southwest DeKalb	2,539	116,082	284,008	450,084	852,713	147,287
5-AAAA	Druid Hills	7	1,985	15,327	79,855	97,174	902,826
5-AAAA	Lithonia	5	1,273	10,717	60,778	72,773	927,227
5-AAAA	North Springs	-	497	5,603	35,649	41,749	958,251
5-AAAA	Northview	-	17	346	4,439	4,802	995,198
5-AAAA	Clarkston	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAA	Cross Keys	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAA	Blessed Trinity	569,938	283,926	100,264	38,565	992,693	7,307
6-AAAA	Kell	264,543	323,260	237,639	141,602	967,044	32,956
6-AAAA	Cambridge	93,344	211,813	314,174	263,505	882,836	117,164
6-AAAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	68,683	162,704	292,311	346,782	870,480	129,520
6-AAAA	Centennial	3,492	18,297	55,612	209,546	286,947	713,053
7-AAAA	Cartersville	646,047	264,774	65,993	16,853	993,667	6,333
7-AAAA	Cedartown	276,282	405,751	188,413	78,801	949,247	50,753
7-AAAA	Cass	37,082	136,334	284,313	242,756	700,485	299,515
7-AAAA	Dalton	19,909	88,878	189,525	244,889	543,201	456,799
7-AAAA	Hiram	11,145	57,913	140,129	213,710	422,897	577,103
7-AAAA	Allatoona	9,531	46,252	130,758	197,804	384,345	615,655
7-AAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	4	98	869	5,187	6,158	993,842
7-AAAA	Southeast Whitfield	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAA	North Oconee	760,770	205,595	28,888	4,104	999,357	643
8-AAAA	Eastside	204,228	555,384	179,826	45,900	985,338	14,662
8-AAAA	Flowery Branch	26,964	162,547	441,470	221,805	852,786	147,214
8-AAAA	Madison County	6,441	50,215	183,260	307,148	547,064	452,936
8-AAAA	Cedar Shoals	629	11,725	67,892	150,730	230,976	769,024
8-AAAA	Walnut Grove	507	7,450	50,276	137,561	195,794	804,206
8-AAAA	East Forsyth	461	7,084	48,388	132,752	188,685	811,315

Class AAA Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Cedar Grove	5-AAA	0-1	84.21	999,974	3.96	840,989	674,139	492,772	337,463	1.96
Jefferson	8-AAA	0-1	81.49	999,988	3.69	781,340	587,287	381,485	221,851	3.51
Bainbridge	1-AAA	0-1	80.21	997,616	3.47	737,374	510,292	309,591	165,778	5.03
Calhoun	7-AAA	0-1	76.03	999,537	3.19	677,643	412,213	204,529	83,470	10.98
Sandy Creek	2-AAA	1-0	75.71	977,961	2.91	583,541	345,989	165,273	66,387	14.06
Troup	2-AAA	1-0	74.67	946,861	2.63	504,776	277,717	123,387	46,430	20.54
Oconee County	8-AAA	0-1	70.77	999,247	2.38	404,228	173,316	60,136	17,565	55.93
Monroe Area	8-AAA	1-0	69.93	999,341	2.34	387,812	159,507	52,385	14,140	69.72
Peach County	1-AAA	1-0	70.28	957,343	2.16	349,358	146,073	48,458	13,489	73.13
Cairo	1-AAA	0-0	69.83	962,454	2.14	338,899	138,427	44,529	11,894	83.08
Stephenson	5-AAA	0-1	66.81	992,763	2.08	297,959	98,501	25,739	5,392	184.46
Mary Persons	2-AAA	0-0	67.77	751,307	1.53	210,213	76,731	21,186	4,682	212.58
Spalding	2-AAA	0-1	67.70	579,490	1.15	160,599	56,707	15,508	3,506	284.23
LaGrange	2-AAA	0-1	67.53	602,594	1.19	163,946	57,162	15,361	3,413	292.00
Baldwin	4-AAA	0-1	62.57	963,233	1.90	257,920	68,528	13,330	1,922	519.29
Adairsville	7-AAA	1-0	60.60	943,497	1.56	140,337	31,276	4,934	584	1,711.33
Whitewater	2-AAA	0-1	63.24	340,715	0.57	58,061	15,002	2,958	472	2,117.64
Jenkins	3-AAA	0-1	58.72	932,397	1.50	120,076	22,654	3,025	273	3,662.00
Heritage (Ringgold)	7-AAA	1-0	57.54	929,356	1.43	95,076	16,814	2,079	201	4,974.12
Upson-Lee	2-AAA	1-0	60.79	355,472	0.55	44,449	9,702	1,551	192	5,207.33
Harlem	4-AAA	1-0	56.68	920,022	1.45	106,182	18,442	2,120	177	5,648.72
Northwest Whitfield	7-AAA	1-0	57.04	899,160	1.32	80,218	13,388	1,563	148	6,755.76
Dawson County	6-AAA	0-0	56.39	841,677	1.27	84,807	13,927	1,403	104	9,614.38
Dougherty	1-AAA	1-0	58.10	504,544	0.66	34,089	6,453	726	73	13,697.63
Douglass	5-AAA	1-0	56.17	902,894	1.23	59,682	8,926	901	71	14,083.51
Lumpkin County	6-AAA	0-1	54.96	712,265	1.00	52,631	7,506	710	58	17,240.38
Southeast Bulloch	3-AAA	1-0	54.73	918,330	1.31	64,333	8,991	802	55	18,180.82
Howard	4-AAA	0-1	55.22	750,289	1.08	61,889	8,935	850	54	18,517.52
North Hall	6-AAA	0-0	53.93	716,388	0.99	46,484	6,063	538	39	25,640.03
Monroe	1-AAA	0-1	55.95	412,166	0.53	21,851	3,296	325	26	38,460.54
White County	6-AAA	0-1	54.05	690,082	0.94	43,245	5,717	472	23	43,477.26
Long County	3-AAA	1-0	52.64	905,986	1.23	45,175	5,344	388	23	43,477.26
Cherokee Bluff	8-AAA	1-0	53.12	947,795	1.16	34,222	4,070	320	15	66,665.67
Hephzibah	4-AAA	1-0	51.87	780,328	1.03	36,031	4,019	267	13	76,922.08
Westover	1-AAA	1-0	53.65	352,437	0.44	14,666	1,819	153	7	142,856.14
West Laurens	4-AAA	0-0	50.97	617,271	0.79	23,887	2,339	139	6	166,665.67
Pickens	6-AAA	1-0	48.18	368,995	0.44	7,759	590	21	2	499,999.00
Luella	5-AAA	0-1	49.74	680,827	0.76	10,894	1,050	49	1	999,999.00
Gilmer	7-AAA	0-1	47.99	358,354	0.40	5,329	404	14	1	999,999.00
Liberty County	3-AAA	0-1	47.76	435,005	0.51	8,123	523	20	-	-
Westside (Augusta)	4-AAA	1-0	42.47	238,484	0.26	1,701	82	2	-	-
Riverdale	5-AAA	0-1	43.00	338,049	0.36	1,458	59	1	-	-
Johnson (Savannah)	3-AAA	0-1	38.76	90,986	0.10	247	5	-	-	-
Richmond Academy	4-AAA	0-1	39.63	39,597	0.04	145	4	-	-	-
LaFayette	7-AAA	0-1	36.74	40,817	0.04	48	4	-	-	-
Windsor Forest	3-AAA	0-0	36.34	76,569	0.08	146	3	-	-	-
North Clayton	5-AAA	1-0	36.58	84,509	0.09	88	3	-	-	-
Chestatee	6-AAA	1-0	36.64	28,950	0.03	44	1	-	-	-
Islands	3-AAA	0-1	32.77	15,603	0.02	10	-	-	-	-
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	5-AAA	0-1	30.39	21,267	0.02	6	-	-	-	-
East Hall	8-AAA	0-1	30.11	43,888	0.04	5	-	-	-	-
Ridgeland	7-AAA	0-1	29.29	6,083	0.01	4	-	-	-	-
Beach	3-AAA	0-1	29.90	8,903	0.01	3	-	-	-	-
West Hall	8-AAA	0-1	25.36	19,527	0.02	2	-	-	-	-
Cross Creek	4-AAA	1-0	27.34	656	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Gainesville)	6-AAA	0-0	20.95	106	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Fayette County	2-AAA	0-1	38.86	45	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Groves	3-AAA	0-0	11.55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
8-AAA	Jefferson	281,781	773,234	953,611	999,988	12
2-AAA	Sandy Creek	132,632	529,737	777,410	977,961	22,039
7-AAA	Calhoun	96,052	858,402	974,175	999,537	463
5-AAA	Cedar Grove	93,476	891,528	992,949	999,974	26
2-AAA	Troup	80,131	387,261	664,263	946,861	53,139
1-AAA	Bainbridge	68,954	700,350	916,790	997,616	2,384
8-AAA	Monroe Area	40,461	318,855	718,548	999,341	659
8-AAA	Oconee County	37,581	299,366	683,135	999,247	753
4-AAA	Harlem	33,133	270,819	551,848	920,022	79,978
4-AAA	Baldwin	25,095	533,089	765,638	963,233	36,767
1-AAA	Cairo	16,187	225,252	561,285	962,454	37,546
2-AAA	Mary Persons	12,719	111,982	297,988	751,307	248,693
1-AAA	Peach County	12,270	200,808	567,617	957,343	42,657
4-AAA	Hephzibah	8,838	91,931	287,686	780,328	219,672
7-AAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	8,473	122,987	463,870	929,356	70,644
6-AAA	Dawson County	7,529	192,826	430,035	841,677	158,323
5-AAA	Stephenson	6,784	179,616	772,206	992,763	7,237
7-AAA	Adairsville	6,098	126,675	461,012	943,497	56,503
4-AAA	Howard	4,279	127,831	313,512	750,289	249,711
3-AAA	Southeast Bulloch	4,192	110,120	404,078	918,330	81,670
7-AAA	Northwest Whitfield	3,335	75,875	339,215	899,160	100,840
2-AAA	LaGrange	3,123	69,317	183,894	602,594	397,406
6-AAA	North Hall	3,025	119,009	293,618	716,388	283,612
3-AAA	Long County	2,742	92,911	383,203	905,986	94,014
2-AAA	Spalding	2,684	72,255	187,274	579,490	420,510
3-AAA	Jenkins	2,128	106,490	494,968	932,397	67,603
4-AAA	West Laurens	2,013	55,634	172,284	617,271	382,729
6-AAA	White County	1,321	103,285	267,197	690,082	309,918
6-AAA	Lumpkin County	917	131,567	307,137	712,265	287,735
2-AAA	Upson-Lee	589	11,932	53,219	355,472	644,528
2-AAA	Whitewater	510	22,659	75,122	340,715	659,285
6-AAA	Pickens	295	21,509	77,499	368,995	631,005
5-AAA	Douglass	226	21,242	209,250	902,894	97,106
8-AAA	Cherokee Bluff	176	6,894	57,816	947,795	52,205
4-AAA	Westside (Augusta)	68	3,564	20,620	238,484	761,516
1-AAA	Westover	65	3,006	30,600	352,437	647,563
1-AAA	Dougherty	53	8,676	54,761	504,544	495,456
1-AAA	Monroe	28	6,531	41,358	412,166	587,834
3-AAA	Liberty County	23	5,874	62,795	435,005	564,995
7-AAA	Gilmer	11	4,377	41,895	358,354	641,646
5-AAA	Luella	2	3,011	57,465	680,827	319,173
4-AAA	Richmond Academy	1	649	3,764	39,597	960,403
6-AAA	Chestatee	-	347	2,144	28,950	971,050
5-AAA	Riverdale	-	340	14,878	338,049	661,951
3-AAA	Johnson (Savannah)	-	189	3,913	90,986	909,014
3-AAA	Windsor Forest	-	113	2,844	76,569	923,431
7-AAA	LaFayette	-	46	1,311	40,817	959,183
5-AAA	North Clayton	-	14	1,549	84,509	915,491
3-AAA	Islands	-	6	330	15,603	984,397
7-AAA	Ridgeland	-	3	96	6,083	993,917
5-AAA	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	-	2	139	21,267	978,733
3-AAA	Beach	-	2	84	8,903	991,097
8-AAA	East Hall	-	2	77	43,888	956,112
4-AAA	Cross Creek	-	-	12	656	999,344
8-AAA	West Hall	-	-	11	19,527	980,473
6-AAA	Johnson (Gainesville)	-	-	2	106	999,894
2-AAA	Fayette County	-	-	-	45	999,955
3-AAA	Groves	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Class AA Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Pierce County	3-AA	0-0	78.87	999,886	3.70	765,895	579,637	418,867	293,381	2.41
Rockmart	7-AA	0-1	73.46	999,984	3.36	697,230	458,575	264,474	136,170	6.34
Carver (Columbus)	1-AA	1-0	72.39	999,999	3.33	693,520	442,684	244,840	117,411	7.52
Appling County	3-AA	0-1	74.10	999,065	3.07	605,696	375,947	215,931	115,758	7.64
Burke County	4-AA	1-0	73.15	999,999	3.14	641,027	388,249	212,473	107,051	8.34
Stephens County	8-AA	1-0	70.76	999,466	2.72	502,292	269,061	127,546	55,533	17.01
Thomson	4-AA	0-1	70.16	999,997	2.71	501,860	257,478	117,712	49,288	19.29
Callaway	2-AA	0-1	67.93	999,691	2.68	499,638	241,914	98,016	35,336	27.30
Carver (Atlanta)	5-AA	1-0	68.39	999,563	2.55	446,770	217,301	90,505	33,888	28.51
Cook	3-AA	1-0	67.26	993,420	2.14	317,462	135,728	50,446	17,579	55.89
Hapeville Charter	5-AA	0-0	65.32	993,263	2.10	305,961	115,351	38,049	11,334	87.23
Crisp County	3-AA	0-1	64.96	972,144	1.85	236,625	86,299	27,277	7,966	124.53
Morgan County	2-AA	1-0	62.59	999,378	2.13	300,068	102,859	28,513	6,864	144.69
Hart County	8-AA	1-0	63.08	992,767	1.86	210,371	71,017	19,488	4,955	200.82
Columbia	6-AA	0-1	59.35	998,275	1.97	251,969	63,121	13,461	2,488	400.93
Westside (Macon)	2-AA	1-0	59.89	997,640	1.84	199,253	55,548	12,248	2,335	427.27
North Murray	7-AA	1-0	58.16	997,217	1.69	145,496	35,020	6,676	1,088	918.12
Union County	7-AA	0-0	56.62	984,502	1.55	110,737	22,743	3,725	538	1,857.74
Sumter County	1-AA	1-0	54.19	998,612	1.63	119,483	20,094	2,692	336	2,975.19
Miller Grove	6-AA	0-1	53.10	992,380	1.50	92,900	13,763	1,715	177	5,648.72
Ringgold	7-AA	1-0	53.48	984,973	1.38	62,903	9,971	1,220	143	6,992.01
South Atlanta	6-AA	0-1	52.45	994,717	1.49	87,220	12,463	1,510	142	7,041.25
Laney	4-AA	0-1	53.98	999,578	1.36	63,538	9,969	1,226	129	7,750.94
Sonoraville	7-AA	0-1	52.37	887,239	1.17	46,514	6,293	675	66	15,150.52
Jackson	2-AA	1-0	50.83	950,755	1.22	39,896	4,758	467	33	30,302.03
Spencer	1-AA	1-0	48.43	946,731	1.19	29,980	2,933	196	10	99,999.00
East Jackson	8-AA	0-1	46.49	404,362	0.45	5,651	398	19	1	999,999.00
Coahulla Creek	7-AA	0-1	43.14	552,130	0.61	4,956	251	11	-	-
Hardaway	1-AA	0-1	40.93	735,138	0.80	4,652	195	11	-	-
Tattnall County	3-AA	1-0	43.46	206,973	0.22	1,463	83	5	-	-
Redan	6-AA	1-0	39.00	837,242	0.88	3,070	111	3	-	-
Washington	5-AA	0-1	40.83	255,891	0.27	1,328	56	2	-	-
Shaw	1-AA	0-1	38.84	539,444	0.57	1,934	60	1	-	-
Therrell	5-AA	0-1	40.37	206,382	0.22	938	37	-	-	-
Pike County	2-AA	1-0	34.52	372,056	0.38	538	15	-	-	-
Columbus	1-AA	0-1	33.44	365,436	0.38	435	11	-	-	-
Rutland	2-AA	0-1	35.84	211,490	0.22	338	6	-	-	-
Franklin County	8-AA	0-1	31.17	20,294	0.02	13	1	-	-	-
Lakeview Ft. Oglethorpe	7-AA	1-0	34.07	137,297	0.14	159	-	-	-	-
Butler	4-AA	0-0	27.06	816,791	0.82	130	-	-	-	-
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	5-AA	1-0	29.99	84,929	0.09	45	-	-	-	-
Salem	6-AA	0-1	27.59	232,826	0.23	33	-	-	-	-
Kendrick	1-AA	1-0	23.81	136,624	0.14	13	-	-	-	-
Josey	4-AA	0-1	11.05	111,049	0.11	-	-	-	-	-
Glenn Hills	4-AA	0-1	11.67	84,357	0.08	-	-	-	-	-
Murray County	7-AA	0-1	19.94	7,594	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Jordan	1-AA	0-0	8.43	454	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
1-AA	Carver (Columbus)	325,953	922,079	995,012	999,999	1
7-AA	Rockmart	145,538	849,847	967,374	999,984	16
3-AA	Pierce County	103,292	608,689	893,653	999,886	114
5-AA	Carver (Atlanta)	74,811	421,919	794,336	999,563	437
2-AA	Callaway	67,327	601,401	880,422	999,691	309
2-AA	Morgan County	64,007	392,302	789,226	999,378	622
3-AA	Appling County	56,959	419,175	785,723	999,065	935
8-AA	Stephens County	42,569	368,078	806,825	999,466	534
2-AA	Westside (Macon)	32,233	248,322	641,486	997,640	2,360
7-AA	North Murray	20,303	171,993	566,084	997,217	2,783
4-AA	Burke County	14,287	614,903	945,174	999,999	1
1-AA	Sumter County	13,955	197,831	737,529	998,612	1,388
7-AA	Union County	9,180	106,290	441,098	984,502	15,498
3-AA	Cook	7,979	121,960	403,092	993,420	6,580
8-AA	Hart County	5,971	86,104	456,339	992,767	7,233
7-AA	Ringgold	4,136	55,512	303,189	984,973	15,027
5-AA	Hapeville Charter	2,405	213,210	478,019	993,263	6,737
6-AA	South Atlanta	1,839	219,377	557,096	994,717	5,283
3-AA	Crisp County	1,714	75,025	259,749	972,144	27,856
4-AA	Thomson	1,658	383,840	910,269	999,997	3
6-AA	Columbia	1,135	545,197	837,027	998,275	1,725
2-AA	Jackson	973	34,948	162,516	950,755	49,245
1-AA	Spencer	827	33,689	280,820	946,731	53,269
7-AA	Sonoraville	377	19,739	131,213	887,239	112,761
6-AA	Miller Grove	330	234,308	575,246	992,380	7,620
4-AA	Laney	217	31,190	192,280	999,578	422
1-AA	Hardaway	12	3,882	62,437	735,138	264,862
7-AA	Coahulla Creek	6	750	9,862	552,130	447,870
6-AA	Redan	5	14,631	61,703	837,242	162,758
1-AA	Shaw	1	1,786	40,862	539,444	460,556
2-AA	Pike County	1	221	3,548	372,056	627,944
6-AA	Salem	-	497	5,094	232,826	767,174
8-AA	East Jackson	-	369	8,693	404,362	595,638
1-AA	Columbus	-	274	8,425	365,436	634,564
2-AA	Rutland	-	202	2,225	211,490	788,510
5-AA	Therrell	-	164	1,330	206,382	793,618
5-AA	Washington	-	149	1,568	255,891	744,109
3-AA	Tattnall County	-	105	2,037	206,973	793,027
4-AA	Butler	-	28	743	816,791	183,209
1-AA	Kendrick	-	7	324	136,624	863,376
7-AA	Lakeview Ft. Oglethorpe	-	5	252	137,297	862,703
5-AA	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	-	2	31	84,929	915,071
8-AA	Franklin County	-	-	56	20,294	979,706
4-AA	Glenn Hills	-	-	7	84,357	915,643
4-AA	Josey	-	-	5	111,049	888,951
1-AA	Jordan	-	-	1	454	999,546
7-AA	Murray County	-	-	-	7,594	992,406

Class A Division I Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Fitzgerald	1-A Division I	0-1	73.41	999,773	3.71	779,667	577,205	404,179	264,636	2.78
Thomasville	1-A Division I	1-0	73.09	999,962	3.68	774,117	564,420	392,207	251,490	2.98
Rabun County	8-A Division I	1-0	69.98	999,947	3.43	716,350	482,566	296,139	157,224	5.36
Swainsboro	3-A Division I	0-1	68.28	997,522	3.07	614,236	379,415	204,490	97,744	9.23
Dublin	2-A Division I	1-0	66.28	999,977	3.02	601,598	346,540	174,141	72,904	12.72
Bleckley County	2-A Division I	1-0	64.13	999,766	2.74	513,079	264,724	115,072	41,944	22.84
Northeast	2-A Division I	0-1	63.29	997,329	2.54	443,633	216,002	87,297	30,167	32.15
Toombs County	3-A Division I	0-0	63.30	988,425	2.40	403,814	192,878	75,510	26,259	37.08
Lamar County	4-A Division I	1-0	59.96	999,980	2.56	459,744	198,128	67,073	17,921	54.80
Elbert County	8-A Division I	0-1	60.20	982,991	2.15	318,927	129,084	41,487	11,609	85.14
Commerce	8-A Division I	0-1	59.73	978,387	2.08	298,582	117,884	36,361	9,649	102.64
Fannin County	7-A Division I	1-0	55.75	999,814	2.26	350,046	115,283	28,090	5,461	182.12
Bremen	6-A Division I	0-0	55.03	971,471	1.91	247,498	74,256	16,251	2,957	337.18
Worth County	1-A Division I	1-0	56.00	963,592	1.70	175,924	52,766	12,008	2,431	410.35
Putnam County	4-A Division I	0-1	54.14	997,465	1.96	238,145	67,900	13,718	2,309	432.09
Jeff Davis	1-A Division I	1-0	55.40	967,510	1.71	172,648	50,330	10,757	1,980	504.05
Model	6-A Division I	1-0	52.83	956,848	1.68	169,905	42,637	7,648	1,146	871.60
Dodge County	2-A Division I	0-0	53.79	940,564	1.55	135,795	35,672	6,761	1,076	928.37
Washington County	2-A Division I	0-1	51.86	889,145	1.34	93,620	20,959	3,372	468	2,135.75
Vidalia	3-A Division I	0-1	50.65	703,380	0.96	53,526	10,429	1,494	166	6,023.10
Haralson County	6-A Division I	1-0	48.25	880,504	1.28	72,892	12,546	1,482	139	7,193.24
Heard County	6-A Division I	1-0	48.68	771,375	1.11	66,918	12,035	1,398	131	7,632.59
Social Circle	4-A Division I	1-0	46.07	987,340	1.42	67,501	9,723	921	64	15,624.00
Dade County	7-A Division I	0-1	44.60	950,710	1.34	58,970	7,562	655	42	23,808.52
Pepperell	6-A Division I	0-1	46.47	589,301	0.78	33,334	4,908	489	37	27,026.03
Berrien	1-A Division I	0-1	46.90	502,861	0.63	21,782	3,168	304	23	43,477.26
Temple	6-A Division I	1-0	44.40	629,162	0.79	24,075	2,902	218	9	111,110.11
ACE Charter	2-A Division I	0-0	44.28	680,452	0.83	21,298	2,421	165	5	199,999.00
Gordon Lee	7-A Division I	0-1	41.10	856,720	1.05	22,902	2,058	115	4	249,999.00
Bacon County	1-A Division I	0-1	42.17	315,230	0.36	5,985	588	50	1	999,999.00
East Laurens	2-A Division I	1-0	39.22	524,070	0.59	6,656	499	38	1	999,999.00
Banks County	8-A Division I	1-0	42.24	393,901	0.46	7,882	776	37	1	999,999.00
Southwest	2-A Division I	0-1	41.11	311,724	0.35	5,045	413	25	1	999,999.00
Jasper County	4-A Division I	0-1	37.89	823,889	0.92	8,909	579	24	1	999,999.00
Jefferson County	2-A Division I	0-1	39.81	205,955	0.23	2,499	177	11	-	-
Chattooga	7-A Division I	1-0	36.00	714,921	0.80	6,420	333	8	-	-
Oglethorpe County	8-A Division I	0-1	37.41	112,545	0.12	860	60	2	-	-
Brantley County	1-A Division I	0-1	39.08	108,100	0.12	971	64	1	-	-
Armuchee	7-A Division I	0-0	31.08	514,075	0.54	1,536	43	1	-	-
Towers	4-A Division I	1-0	28.88	662,703	0.69	1,221	30	1	-	-
B.E.S.T. Academy	5-A Division I	1-0	30.35	431,683	1.45	883	22	-	-	-
McNair	4-A Division I	0-1	28.94	223,813	0.23	246	6	-	-	-
Coosa	7-A Division I	0-0	25.55	150,249	0.15	114	4	-	-	-
Gordon Central	7-A Division I	1-0	25.30	312,136	0.32	229	3	-	-	-
Central (Macon)	2-A Division I	0-1	30.69	12,697	0.01	18	2	-	-	-
Utopian Academy	4-A Division I	0-1	-8.80	36	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
8-A Division I	Rabun County	261,307	753,521	980,745	999,947	53
2-A Division I	Dublin	157,313	653,461	976,968	999,977	23
1-A Division I	Thomasville	135,748	722,412	975,791	999,962	38
4-A Division I	Lamar County	129,883	784,578	978,493	999,980	20
7-A Division I	Fannin County	78,199	755,068	952,542	999,814	186
1-A Division I	Fitzgerald	67,423	689,348	956,755	999,773	227
2-A Division I	Bleckley County	64,956	520,933	925,901	999,766	234
3-A Division I	Swainsboro	36,844	468,677	845,846	997,522	2,478
2-A Division I	Northeast	16,922	349,224	767,165	997,329	2,671
8-A Division I	Elbert County	9,892	181,470	604,102	982,991	17,009
6-A Division I	Bremen	7,236	369,294	648,878	971,471	28,529
8-A Division I	Commerce	5,715	172,696	555,757	978,387	21,613
4-A Division I	Putnam County	5,607	330,828	798,057	997,465	2,535
6-A Division I	Model	5,507	232,751	522,929	956,848	43,152
3-A Division I	Toombs County	5,355	198,278	615,798	988,425	11,575
6-A Division I	Haralson County	2,339	94,469	324,866	880,504	119,496
2-A Division I	Dodge County	2,276	57,036	349,720	940,564	59,436
4-A Division I	Social Circle	2,233	120,657	497,535	987,340	12,660
1-A Division I	Jeff Davis	1,385	52,691	442,954	967,510	32,490
7-A Division I	Dade County	1,298	152,638	482,320	950,710	49,290
1-A Division I	Worth County	960	43,150	356,635	963,592	36,408
6-A Division I	Heard County	583	89,511	242,879	771,375	228,625
2-A Division I	Washington County	413	30,250	197,830	889,145	110,855
7-A Division I	Gordon Lee	182	52,090	234,954	856,720	143,280
7-A Division I	Chattooga	142	14,957	114,470	714,921	285,079
6-A Division I	Temple	131	29,147	104,538	629,162	370,838
6-A Division I	Pepperell	45	47,647	135,477	589,301	410,699
2-A Division I	ACE Charter	38	2,303	59,316	680,452	319,548
7-A Division I	Armuchee	18	2,909	41,344	514,075	485,925
4-A Division I	Jasper County	15	12,399	90,260	823,889	176,111
2-A Division I	East Laurens	9	308	25,101	524,070	475,930
3-A Division I	Vidalia	8	9,341	64,397	703,380	296,620
1-A Division I	Berrien	7	2,146	31,763	502,861	497,139
4-A Division I	Towers	4	1,015	40,682	662,703	337,297
8-A Division I	Banks County	3	800	13,406	393,901	606,099
5-A Division I	B.E.S.T. Academy	2	179	9,591	431,683	568,317
1-A Division I	Bacon County	1	286	6,556	315,230	684,770
2-A Division I	Southwest	1	267	6,547	311,724	688,276
4-A Division I	McNair	-	458	5,805	223,813	776,187
7-A Division I	Gordon Central	-	289	7,087	312,136	687,864
7-A Division I	Coosa	-	213	3,487	150,249	849,751
2-A Division I	Jefferson County	-	166	2,419	205,955	794,045
8-A Division I	Oglethorpe County	-	77	1,238	112,545	887,455
1-A Division I	Brantley County	-	61	1,081	108,100	891,900
2-A Division I	Central (Macon)	-	1	15	12,697	987,303
4-A Division I	Utopian Academy	-	-	-	36	999,964

Class A Division II

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Irwin County	2-A Division II	1-0	71.06	994,505	4.05	886,233	693,755	532,166	355,151	1.82
Brooks County	2-A Division II	0-1	69.38	989,792	3.83	839,056	626,850	456,211	267,666	2.74
Bowdon	7-A Division II	0-1	65.14	999,303	3.44	734,628	522,227	258,519	129,878	6.70
Schley County	6-A Division II	0-1	62.84	999,652	2.92	647,615	281,670	151,741	65,899	14.17
Clinch County	2-A Division II	1-0	61.47	928,808	2.67	563,245	316,877	129,341	47,564	20.02
Metter	3-A Division II	0-0	61.47	974,696	2.62	478,013	214,692	113,291	43,351	22.07
Manchester	7-A Division II	0-1	58.84	992,901	2.55	473,493	234,172	85,466	27,459	35.42
Trion	7-A Division II	1-0	57.52	993,389	2.35	413,728	187,722	61,390	17,903	54.86
Early County	1-A Division II	0-1	55.39	974,231	2.50	393,774	173,346	48,254	12,005	82.30
Macon County	6-A Division II	1-0	55.20	995,551	2.07	346,298	111,289	35,148	8,679	114.22
Lincoln County	8-A Division II	1-0	54.21	993,541	1.90	302,894	113,143	26,638	6,239	159.28
Pelham	1-A Division II	0-0	51.32	939,643	2.13	276,458	86,880	16,780	3,072	324.52
Wilcox County	4-A Division II	0-1	52.45	953,821	1.72	167,247	59,335	13,165	2,669	373.67
Dooly County	4-A Division II	0-1	52.48	956,063	1.72	165,679	57,812	12,806	2,621	380.53
Telfair County	4-A Division II	0-1	52.11	951,145	1.70	162,346	56,621	12,181	2,394	416.71
Emanuel County Institute	3-A Division II	1-0	52.01	740,225	1.33	126,050	34,614	8,102	1,560	640.03
Greene County	8-A Division II	1-0	50.39	985,404	1.48	154,842	45,482	8,190	1,363	732.68
Johnson County	5-A Division II	0-1	48.78	998,887	1.83	117,034	30,325	7,450	1,049	952.29
Charlton County	2-A Division II	1-0	50.73	553,109	0.98	134,349	35,751	5,760	996	1,003.02
Bryan County	3-A Division II	1-0	50.37	661,151	1.12	89,445	22,768	4,587	770	1,297.70
Jenkins County	3-A Division II	1-0	49.86	638,189	1.06	80,153	19,769	3,747	623	1,604.14
Washington-Wilkes	8-A Division II	0-1	47.88	968,739	1.31	101,755	24,486	3,625	494	2,023.29
McIntosh County Academy	3-A Division II	1-0	48.78	565,528	0.90	60,217	14,104	2,351	337	2,966.36
Lanier County	2-A Division II	0-1	45.69	294,984	0.44	38,781	6,794	659	74	13,512.51
Mitchell County	1-A Division II	1-0	43.00	637,687	1.08	51,970	7,826	753	60	16,665.67
Turner County	2-A Division II	0-1	44.49	238,802	0.34	27,075	4,329	377	44	22,726.27
Seminole County	1-A Division II	1-0	42.07	599,840	0.99	42,683	5,844	525	36	27,776.78
Miller County	1-A Division II	1-0	40.22	471,974	0.74	23,758	2,625	169	17	58,822.53
Screven County	3-A Division II	1-0	42.75	226,548	0.30	8,879	1,350	121	7	142,856.14
Portal	3-A Division II	0-1	41.68	187,982	0.24	6,205	873	71	7	142,856.14
Mount Zion (Carroll)	7-A Division II	1-0	38.95	697,274	0.79	13,503	1,012	93	5	199,999.00
Wilkinson County	5-A Division II	1-0	36.97	967,043	1.28	19,649	1,678	107	3	333,332.33
Terrell County	1-A Division II	1-0	37.13	333,884	0.48	9,939	821	43	2	499,999.00
Hawkinsville	4-A Division II	1-0	39.08	451,445	0.53	7,184	626	50	1	999,999.00
Taylor County	6-A Division II	1-0	36.90	737,913	0.80	7,498	729	49	1	999,999.00
Warren County	8-A Division II	0-1	36.40	766,472	0.80	6,927	588	31	1	999,999.00
Wheeler County	4-A Division II	0-1	37.07	299,126	0.34	3,222	244	12	-	-
Marion County	6-A Division II	0-1	33.77	624,618	0.66	3,257	273	11	-	-
Hancock Central	5-A Division II	1-0	31.80	902,813	1.06	7,366	327	9	-	-
Chattahoochee County	6-A Division II	0-1	32.36	562,037	0.59	1,953	142	4	-	-
Treutlen	4-A Division II	1-0	35.22	235,733	0.26	1,690	117	4	-	-
Georgia Military Prep	5-A Division II	0-1	25.57	724,782	0.78	1,412	31	1	-	-
Montgomery County	4-A Division II	1-0	32.81	152,667	0.16	645	30	1	-	-
Greenville	7-A Division II	1-0	30.60	317,133	0.33	1,023	28	1	-	-
Lake Oconee Academy	8-A Division II	1-0	28.34	285,844	0.29	403	13	-	-	-
Randolph-Clay	1-A Division II	0-0	28.06	42,741	0.05	185	8	-	-	-
Glascock County	5-A Division II	0-1	20.35	388,665	0.40	212	2	-	-	-
Crawford County	6-A Division II	0-1	20.66	79,725	0.08	15	-	-	-	-
Claxton	3-A Division II	0-1	29.14	5,680	0.01	14	-	-	-	-
Twiggs County	5-A Division II	0-1	2.61	17,810	0.02	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Talbotton)	6-A Division II	0-0	-1.46	504	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Savannah	3-A Division II	0-1	10.14	1	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Atkinson County	2-A Division II	1-0	33.91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Towns County	8-A Division II	1-0	25.91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Baconton Charter	1-A Division II	0-1	6.93	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Southwest Georgia STEM	1-A Division II	1-0	3.02	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Pataula Charter	1-A Division II	0-1	-2.30	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Calhoun County	1-A Division II	0-1	-5.17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Spring Creek	1-A Division II	0-1	-34.06	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Division II	Early County	554,731	260,361	113,728	45,411	974,231	25,769
1-A Division II	Pelham	300,347	369,623	183,921	85,752	939,643	60,357
1-A Division II	Mitchell County	57,140	129,294	222,459	228,794	637,687	362,313
1-A Division II	Seminole County	48,137	115,658	208,459	227,586	599,840	400,160
1-A Division II	Miller County	27,336	76,681	155,360	212,597	471,974	528,026
1-A Division II	Terrell County	11,918	45,749	105,260	170,957	333,884	666,116
1-A Division II	Randolph-Clay	391	2,634	10,813	28,903	42,741	957,259
1-A Division II	Calhoun County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Pataula Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Spring Creek	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Baconton Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Southwest Georgia STEM	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-A Division II	Irwin County	535,773	318,098	118,460	22,174	994,505	5,495
2-A Division II	Brooks County	346,287	392,606	207,340	43,559	989,792	10,208
2-A Division II	Clinch County	106,822	234,789	431,188	156,009	928,808	71,192
2-A Division II	Charlton County	7,905	34,233	131,785	379,186	553,109	446,891
2-A Division II	Lanier County	1,944	11,823	63,157	218,060	294,984	705,016
2-A Division II	Turner County	1,269	8,451	48,070	181,012	238,802	761,198
2-A Division II	Atkinson County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
3-A Division II	Metter	642,623	204,821	88,325	38,927	974,696	25,304
3-A Division II	Emanuel County Institute	115,598	236,372	213,437	174,818	740,225	259,775
3-A Division II	Bryan County	90,953	178,748	198,971	192,479	661,151	338,849
3-A Division II	Jenkins County	73,488	177,095	196,258	191,348	638,189	361,811
3-A Division II	McIntosh County Academy	60,980	136,644	174,099	193,805	565,528	434,472
3-A Division II	Screven County	9,027	37,556	70,497	109,468	226,548	773,452
3-A Division II	Portal	7,317	28,529	57,230	94,906	187,982	812,018
3-A Division II	Claxton	14	235	1,183	4,248	5,680	994,320
3-A Division II	Savannah	-	-	-	1	1	999,999
4-A Division II	Telfair County	343,078	296,180	224,387	87,500	951,145	48,855
4-A Division II	Wilcox County	324,683	298,703	237,994	92,441	953,821	46,179
4-A Division II	Dooly County	299,484	302,121	262,231	92,227	956,063	43,937
4-A Division II	Hawkinsville	16,300	46,380	114,977	273,788	451,445	548,555
4-A Division II	Wheeler County	10,032	30,816	75,602	182,676	299,126	700,874
4-A Division II	Treutlen	4,514	17,208	53,044	160,967	235,733	764,267
4-A Division II	Montgomery County	1,909	8,592	31,765	110,401	152,667	847,333
5-A Division II	Johnson County	744,550	206,574	39,227	8,536	998,887	1,113
5-A Division II	Wilkinson County	177,093	408,671	270,216	111,063	967,043	32,957
5-A Division II	Hancock Central	60,580	264,988	372,214	205,031	902,813	97,187
5-A Division II	Georgia Military Prep	14,150	90,377	221,238	399,017	724,782	275,218
5-A Division II	Glascock County	3,624	29,241	94,882	260,918	388,665	611,335
5-A Division II	Twiggs County	3	149	2,223	15,435	17,810	982,190
6-A Division II	Schley County	669,342	305,801	22,152	2,357	999,652	348
6-A Division II	Macon County	317,773	560,553	100,265	16,960	995,551	4,449
6-A Division II	Taylor County	7,084	66,872	356,833	307,124	737,913	262,087
6-A Division II	Marion County	3,247	39,435	264,793	317,143	624,618	375,382
6-A Division II	Chattahoochee County	2,535	26,289	235,151	298,062	562,037	437,963
6-A Division II	Crawford County	19	1,050	20,782	57,874	79,725	920,275
6-A Division II	Central (Talbotton)	-	-	24	480	504	999,496
7-A Division II	Bowdon	606,629	268,969	109,943	13,762	999,303	697
7-A Division II	Manchester	223,938	383,789	330,529	54,645	992,901	7,099
7-A Division II	Trion	165,000	327,246	441,905	59,238	993,389	6,611
7-A Division II	Mount Zion (Carroll)	4,200	17,399	96,624	579,051	697,274	302,726
7-A Division II	Greenville	233	2,597	20,999	293,304	317,133	682,867
8-A Division II	Lincoln County	531,041	284,138	136,568	41,794	993,541	6,459
8-A Division II	Greene County	256,665	347,082	299,863	81,794	985,404	14,596
8-A Division II	Washington-Wilkes	191,415	308,669	350,812	117,843	968,739	31,261
8-A Division II	Warren County	19,058	49,607	171,067	526,740	766,472	233,528
8-A Division II	Lake Oconee Academy	1,821	10,504	41,690	231,829	285,844	714,156
8-A Division II	Towns County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Smaller Private

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Prince Avenue Christian	8-AA	1-0	82.96	1,000,000	4.39	931,655	811,431	645,749	490,749	1.04
Calvary Day	3-AAA	1-0	77.96	1,000,000	4.08	894,204	716,705	466,153	257,476	2.88
Savannah Christian	3-A Division I	1-0	72.60	1,000,000	3.53	791,102	499,322	249,333	94,228	9.61
Fellowship Christian	5-A Division I	1-0	70.26	1,000,000	4.39	746,487	447,611	209,328	64,746	14.44
Holy Innocents	5-AA	1-0	68.67	1,000,000	3.04	641,936	319,017	125,790	35,849	26.89
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	2-AAA	0-1	67.19	1,000,000	2.46	389,731	181,165	62,690	16,276	60.44
Hebron Christian	8-AA	1-0	64.64	1,000,000	2.47	406,813	154,791	45,200	9,813	100.91
Athens Academy	8-A Division I	1-0	63.59	1,000,000	2.60	475,162	174,377	48,714	9,161	108.16
Greater Atlanta Christian	6-AAA	0-1	62.16	1,000,000	2.59	485,217	162,125	41,621	7,026	141.33
Wesleyan	5-A Division I	1-0	61.54	1,000,000	3.64	501,289	166,511	41,531	6,530	152.14
Lovett	5-AA	1-0	62.41	1,000,000	2.38	372,581	127,503	32,354	5,556	178.99
North Cobb Christian	7-AA	1-0	56.37	1,000,000	1.99	209,908	45,959	7,245	732	1,365.12
Mount Vernon	5-A Division I	1-0	55.44	1,000,000	3.12	259,642	52,349	7,937	693	1,442.00
Whitefield Academy	5-A Division I	0-1	54.17	1,000,000	3.15	272,575	51,207	6,529	500	1,999.00
Darlington	6-A Division I	0-1	53.26	1,000,000	1.94	202,598	35,193	4,420	286	3,495.50
Savannah Country Day	3-A Division I	0-1	53.76	1,000,000	1.58	104,281	17,846	2,143	186	5,375.34
Aquinas	4-AAA	0-1	52.44	1,000,000	1.72	122,772	20,558	2,268	155	6,450.61
Providence Christian	8-A Division I	0-1	48.57	1,000,000	1.37	45,315	4,951	379	23	43,477.26
Christian Heritage	7-A Division I	0-1	45.31	1,000,000	1.71	97,352	8,054	472	12	83,332.33
Mount Pisgah Christian	5-A Division I	0-1	43.66	1,000,000	2.30	21,930	1,728	79	3	333,332.33
St. Francis	5-A Division I	0-1	42.21	1,000,000	2.36	22,351	1,510	64	-	-
Mount Paran Christian	5-A Division I	0-1	32.94	1,000,000	2.09	3,821	76	1	-	-
King's Ridge Christian	5-A Division I	1-0	26.76	1,000,000	2.06	691	9	-	-	-
Landmark Christian	5-A Division I	0-1	24.49	1,000,000	2.03	581	2	-	-	-
Walker	5-A Division I	0-1	7.16	1,000,000	2.00	6	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
5-A Division I	Fellowship Christian	344,908	730,775	999,267	1,000,000	-
8-AA	Prince Avenue Christian	200,894	930,305	998,384	1,000,000	-
3-AAA	Calvary Day	142,160	983,952	999,935	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Wesleyan	118,665	558,334	994,919	1,000,000	-
3-A Division I	Savannah Christian	103,862	809,863	988,634	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Vernon	42,258	215,407	973,154	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Athens Academy	13,778	447,506	915,374	1,000,000	-
5-AA	Holy Innocents	11,634	602,800	933,623	1,000,000	-
5-AA	Lovett	6,159	260,805	850,319	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Whitefield Academy	6,077	460,826	880,476	1,000,000	-
8-AA	Hebron Christian	3,724	212,082	813,266	1,000,000	-
7-AA	North Cobb Christian	1,715	180,171	757,619	1,000,000	-
6-AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	1,475	604,088	834,602	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	Darlington	1,001	336,712	651,414	1,000,000	-
2-AAA	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	437	129,454	530,001	1,000,000	-
4-AAA	Aquinas	403	135,986	533,635	1,000,000	-
7-A Division I	Christian Heritage	367	305,192	713,939	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	St. Francis	311	11,836	598,496	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Pisgah Christian	108	12,289	284,537	1,000,000	-
3-A Division I	Savannah Country Day	50	39,962	220,207	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Paran Christian	6	13,733	44,561	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Providence Christian	6	13,170	130,786	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Landmark Christian	1	4,344	17,346	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	King's Ridge Christian	1	403	335,489	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Walker	-	5	17	1,000,000	-

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

Class AAAAAA

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Playoff Projections by Team

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Class AAAAA

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Class AAAA

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Playoff Seeding Projections

Class AAA Public

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Playoff Seeding Projections

Class AA Public

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Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class A Division I Public

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Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class A Division II

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Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Smaller Private

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Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

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