NFL MVP Odds: Mahomes, Allen, Stroud lead way before camp

nfl mvp odds

Credit: CRAIG DUDEK

Credit: CRAIG DUDEK

Football fans are counting down the days until Week 1 kickoff as another captivating NFL season looms in the distance. The new season will produce its own set of twists, turns, and storylines as the race for Super Bowl LIX will soon get underway.

With the unrivaled popularity and increasing media coverage of the league year over year, there has never been more attention on individual NFL players. The growth of fantasy football, advanced analytics, and several other factors have added further detail in accurately gauging the value and ability of individual players. So as we get set for the upcoming season, let’s take a minute to break down the 2024-25 NFL MVP odds as reigning Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes currently leads the field.

Latest NFL MVP odds: AFC QBs top the list

With training camps set to open in just a few short weeks, now is a great time to look back at 2024-25 NFL MVP odds at the top gambling apps as the offseason has produced an exciting combination of free agent signings, trades, extensions, and of course a new Rookie class via the NFL Draft.

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes is currently the substantial favorite at (+450) odds as he and KC attempt to win a third consecutive Super Bowl trophy. The next four MVP betting favorites are all fellow AFC QBs with Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills), C.J. Stroud (Houston Texans), and Joe Burrow (Cincinnati Bengals) all sitting at (+850). Last season’s MVP Lamar Jackson, QB of the Baltimore Ravens, carries the next best odds at (+1400).

Here is the list of odds to win the 2024-25 NFL MVP as of July 9, 2024:

  • Patrick Mahomes (+450)
  • Josh Allen (+850)
  • C.J. Stroud (+850)
  • Joe Burrow (+850)
  • Lamar Jackson (+1400)
  • Jordan Love (+1400)
  • Brock Purdy (+1400)
  • Aaron Rodgers (+1600)
  • Jalen Hurts (+1600)
  • Dak Prescott (+1600)
  • Justin Herbert (+2000)
  • Tua Tagovailoa (+2200)
  • Anthony Richardson (+3000)
  • Matthew Stafford (+3000)
  • Trevor Lawrence (+3000)

Note: All NFL MVP odds listed on this page are provided by DraftKings Sportsbook. New users on the platform can use the DraftKings promo code to get started with a fantastic welcome offer when they register today.

Examining the case for NFL MVP favorites

The last ten MVP winners in the NFL have all been quarterbacks as the league continues to move further and further into the age of high-powered offense. Early offseason MVP favorites are headlined by AFC QBs with the conference currently home to some of the league’s most electrifying talents.

Patrick Mahomes: Already the owner of three Super Bowl Championships and two Most Valuable Player honors, Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes is no stranger to hoisting trophies on the NFL stage. After defeating the San Fransisco 49ers in last season’s Super Bowl, (the second consecutive championship for KC), Mahomes leads the 2024-25 NFL MVP odds list as the offseason continues to progress.

Already considered by many to be the best quarterback in NFL history, Mahomes was nearly perfect in last season’s Playoffs totalling over 1,000 yards passing on nearly 70% completions, with 6 touchdowns to just 1 interception (4 games). The Chiefs added explosive talent in the first round of the NFL Draft selecting Xavier Worthy out of Texas, giving Mahomes and the Chiefs offense a true speed demon on the outside.

Patrick Mahomes enters the training camp period of the offseason with the best odds to win NFL MVP at (+450) as the rest of the league aims to catch up with he and the Chiefs.

Josh Allen: Currently tied for the second-best MVP odds, Josh Allen (QB, Buffalo Bills) is aiming to avenge last season’s bitter ending. The Bills lost at home to the Kansas City Chiefs in Round 2 of the Playoffs in back-breaking fashion. It was the third time the Chiefs eliminated the Bills from the Playoffs in recent years, and was the first time the game was played in Buffalo rather than Kansas City.

Josh Allen showcased the rollercoaster nature of his play last season hitting highs of over 4,300 yards passing and 29 touchdowns through the air, as well as 500+ rushing yards and 15 touchdowns on the ground. But the lows included 18 interceptions and 7 fumbles.

The Bills lost their top two wide receivers from last season which will certainly put more responsibility on Josh Allen to carry the offense, but that could also result in astronomical individual stat lines. Given the extremely high ceiling of Allen’s game, he certainly feels like a boom or bust ticket at (+850) odds.

C.J. Stroud: The young Texans QB was the breakout star of last season, winning Rookie of the Year and taking the Texans to the Playoffs for the first time since 2019. After a huge offseason that saw Houston acquire star wide receiver Stefon Diggs through a trade with the Buffalo Bills, the Texans signal-caller looks poised to build on his incredibly impressive year one.

Stroud threw for over 4,000 yards last season, completing nearly 64% of his passes and slinging 23 touchdowns to just 5 interceptions. Having already taken his team to the Playoffs and earning a Wild Card victory over the Cleveland Browns, Stroud quickly proved he’s among the league’s best and certainly deserves to be listed at (+850) odds as he looks to build on a historic Rookie Year.

List of NFL MVP winners

Here is a list of the most recent NFL MVP winners:

  • 2023: Lamar Jackson (QB, Baltimore Ravens)
  • 2022: Patrick Mahomes (QB, Kansas City Chiefs)
  • 2021: Aaron Rodgers (QB, Green Bay Packers)
  • 2020: Aaron Rodgers (QB, Green Bay Packers)
  • 2019: Lamar Jackson (QB, Baltimore Ravens)
  • 2018: Patrick Mahomes (QB, Kansas City Chiefs)
  • 2017: Tom Brady (QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers)
  • 2016: Matt Ryan (QB, Atlanta Falcons)
  • 2015: Cam Newton (QB, Carolina Panthers)
  • 2014: Aaron Rodgers (QB, Green Bay Packers)

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