“I’m afraid he’s going to get sick, and it’s going to kill him,” she said of her husband. “I’ve been begging him. He’s going to see his doctor in a couple of weeks, and I’m going to tell her to tell him he needs to get it done.”

Her family’s feelings, though, are more common than not in Calhoun and across much of Georgia. Even an increasingly dire outlook for the pandemic has not moved most Georgians who are still reluctant to take the COVID-19 shots.

While some are changing their minds, the uptick in vaccinations is not enough to significantly improve Georgia’s position. Less than half of all Georgians have received even one shot, and only two in five are fully vaccinated. The numbers reflect a vaccine hesitancy that leaves the state largely unprotected when the surge from the delta variant hits its projected peak later this month or in September.

It’s been a month since the earliest news reports about COVID-19 case numbers ticking up again in pockets of the state with low vaccination rates. Instead of rushing to vaccinate, vaccinate, vaccinate, Georgia’s pace of doses administered has sped up by only a few percentage points, an analysis of state data by The Atlanta Journal-Constitution found.

And even if vaccinations did rapidly accelerate, anyone starting a Pfizer or Moderna shot regimen now wouldn’t reach maximum protection for five to six weeks. Those with only one shot of those vaccines are still considered vulnerable to the delta variant, and the vaccines aren’t authorized for children younger than 12.

“There are millions and millions of susceptible people in Georgia,” said Mark Rosenberg, former president and chief executive of the Global Task Force for Health and a critic of Georgia’s handling of the pandemic. “You’re looking at a lot of unnecessary deaths and a lot of unnecessary illness.”

Vaccine skepticism runs deep in some circles, based on concerns about the vaccines’ relatively quick rollout to rampant misinformation about potential risks to conspiracy theories about a dawning new world order.

“Just in conversations with people, it comes down to they’re not sure about it,” said Charlton County Administrator Hampton Raulerson, whose county in southeast Georgia has one of the most abysmal vaccination rates in the country, with just 15% fully vaccinated on Thursday, according to the state. “The fact that it’s not been fully approved (by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration), and distrust of the federal government, is a large part of it.”

Before the recent news about delta variant, Georgia’s vaccinations had nearly flatlined. On June 1, slightly less than 40% of all Georgians had received at least one vaccine dose, according to state data; by July 1, that figure had creeped up to only 42.4%. It now sits at 47.2%.

Meanwhile, Georgia’s seven-day-rolling average of probable and confirmed coronavirus cases is 11 times higher than in early July, topping 4,800 on Thursday and reaching almost 4,200 on Friday. Georgia’s hospital beds are filling back to levels not seen since the winter surge.

Credit: Handout

Credit: Handout

In the midst of the worsening situation came the death of Wyatt Gibson, the 5-year-old son of a Whitfield County Sheriff’s Office lieutenant. According to family members, Wyatt had previously been a healthy boy with no underlying conditions. The family thought he had food poisoning, but doctors at a Chattanooga hospital diagnosed him with strep and staph infections and COVID-19. He died July 16 after suffering a massive stroke.

Wyatt’s father and infant sister also tested positive for the virus. The family declined to publicly disclose whether his parents had been vaccinated.

Eva Lee, a vaccine distribution expert and director of Georgia Tech’s Center for Operations Research in Medicine and Healthcare, estimated the state needs to have at least 75% of the total population fully vaccinated to avoid another round of mass hospitalizations and mounting deaths from the coming surge.

Without a significant uptick in shots, Georgia won’t approach that level for months or possibly years, the AJC’s analysis found.

“The interesting thing about Americans is that they behave exactly the same as before,” Lee said. “They will look at it escalating, with all the bad news, and then not do anything. The longer we drag on it, the happier the virus is. Viruses continue to mutate, and that means more transmissibility.”

Close to home

Still, the needle is moving, ever so slightly.

In the past two weeks, all but three Georgia counties — Marion, Chattahoochee and Stewart, all among the state’s least populous — have seen an increase in the running 7-day average of first doses administered.

In 39 counties, the rolling seven-day average at least doubled. However, in many of those, the numbers are relatively small — increases counted in single digits to a few dozen. But in Lowndes County in South Georgia, for instance, an average of 81 additional people received shots each day in the seven days ending Aug. 3 compared to the seven days before July 22.

In metro Atlanta, the percentage increases were more modest, but hundreds more people received shots each day. Statewide, the average numbers of doses administered each of the past seven days rose by 13% from the prior week.

Credit: Ben Gray / Ben@BenGray.com

Credit: Ben Gray / Ben@BenGray.com

In Gordon County, where news of Wyatt Gibson’s death broke on July 19, the rolling seven-day average has since increased by 177%, to almost 60 per day.

One of those shots went into Georgia Fuller’s arm. Having survived a COVID-19 infection in November, she had no intention of being vaccinated, thinking the pharmaceutical companies developed the drugs way too quickly and they couldn’t possibly be safe.

But then the delta variant got her attention, particularly the detail that even vaccinated people are susceptible. She thought about her 72-year-old father and her 64-year-old mother, both vaccinated, both diabetics. She took her first dose of the Moderna vaccine at the Gordon County Health Department late last month.

“You don’t want to do anything to rush your demise, or anyone you love,” Fuller, 40, said. “So if I can take a shot, and maybe hurt a little bit, and protect the ones I love, OK.”

But the decision surprised some friends who, like her, lean Republican. “This is a Democratic pandemic,” she said they told her.

Credit: Johnny Edwards / Johnny.Edwards@ajc.com

Credit: Johnny Edwards / Johnny.Edwards@ajc.com

In Whitfield County, north of Gordon, the rolling seven-day average of first doses has increased 137% since reports of Wyatt Gibson’s death, to almost 100 per day.

About 18 shots were administered last week at Peds Care, a pediatric office in Dalton that just started offering vaccines, with help from the Georgia Department of Public Health. Dr. Milca L. Hernandez-Aviles said more and more parents have asked about vaccinating their children, and they often bring up the death of the police officer’s son.

“I think it’s the first time that they feel it really close,” Hernandez-Aviles said.

Credit: Handout

Credit: Handout

But some parents are hard to reach, she said. They tell her that death counts have been inflated, that the vaccination is unnecessary because most people survive COVID-19, or that the government is using vaccines to tag people with tracking devices.

“Let me tell you, it’s hard,” Hernandez-Aviles said. “Because you look at the child, and you know the benefits of certain vaccinations including this one, and you worry about them and not being able to make a decision for themselves, just having to go with what their parents decide.”

Credit: Ben Gray / Ben@BenGray.com

Credit: Ben Gray / Ben@BenGray.com

Reachable refusers

Among Whitfield County’s unvaccinated is James Ford, 67, who lives on a mountain in Rocky Face outside Dalton. He’s no anti-vaxxer or coronavirus denier. He gets his flu shot every year, and last year he took a pneumonia shot. Since COVID-19 cases flared back up, he’s gone back to wearing masks in public and carrying hand sanitizer. When Ford became eligible for the COVID-19 vaccine earlier this year, he even signed up for an appointment at the hospital in Calhoun.

But then he grew concerned that the vaccine might contain aluminum, to which he has a skin allergy, and Ford said his doctor didn’t give him a solid reassurance that it’s not among the ingredients. (None of the vaccines authorized for emergency use in the U.S. contain aluminum.)

The mainstream media, which he doesn’t trust, tells him one thing. Internet sources tell him something else. Ford has drawn a line — he’ll take a vaccine only when it receives full FDA approval.

“It’s just so much misinformation floating around about what’s in it and what’s not in it,” he said. “And then the longer you wait, you’re seeing that, well golly, people that take the vaccine are getting infected. I just don’t know what to do.”

Credit: Handout

Credit: Handout

Hoping to boost vaccinations among people such as Ford, the FDA has accelerated its timetable to approve the Pfizer vaccine, aiming for early September.

Amie Chitwood, of Calhoun, doesn’t want her family to wait that long.

On Tuesday, she met her son, Gene Patterson, at the Gordon County Health Department and watched him get his first shot of the Moderna vaccine. Patterson said it was time, since he’s starting a new job cooking at a truck stop that will put him in close proximity to other people.

Credit: Johnny Edwards / Johnny.Edwards@ajc.com

Credit: Johnny Edwards / Johnny.Edwards@ajc.com

But it was mostly his mother, he said.

“She was just nagging me about it. ‘You gotta go get it. Gotta go get it.’”

Chitwood’s husband, Scott, said he’ll probably get his first shot when his stepson gets his second.

“I’ve had just a little bit of a struggle with it, because of my compromised immune system,” Scott Chitwood said. “If it wasn’t for that, I probably would have had it already.”

AJC Data Reporter John Perry and Staff Writer Jeremy Redmon contributed to this article.