An automotive executive tapped by then-President Donald Trump to help lead the Commerce Department wants to break up the primary federal agency that studies climate change and ‘commercialize’ the National Weather Service.
The proposal is one of a number of substantial changes to the federal government laid out in Project 2025, a policy blueprint for the next Republican administration published by the conservative Heritage Foundation with input from hundreds of influential Republicans, including at least six Trump cabinet secretaries.
In recent weeks, as coverage of Project 2025 has ramped up, Trump, the Republican nominee once more, has sought to distance himself from the initiative and said it does not represent his platform. The Trump campaign did not respond to requests for comment. The Republican Party platform makes no reference to climate, but does promise to encourage oil, gas and coal production, the use of which would increase the amount of heat-trapping greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.
Nevertheless, the Project 2025 chapter pertaining to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the National Weather Service (NWS) was written by Thomas Gilman, a former Chrysler CEO. Gilman, nominated by Trump and confirmed by the Senate, served as the Commerce Department’s chief financial officer and assistant secretary from 2019 to 2021.
National Hurricane Center
National Hurricane Center
In Project 2025, Gilman targets NOAA, which is over the Weather Service, as “one of the main drivers of the climate change alarm industry” and, as such, a threat to “future U.S. prosperity.”
“It should be broken up and downsized,” he wrote.
The document goes on to say that the Weather Service should focus on “commercial operations,” and the work of the National Hurricane Center should be “reviewed” to ensure its work is presented “neutrally” without supporting “any one side in the climate debate.” The proposal says appointees should be screened to ensure they support the aims of the administration.
“Scientific agencies like NOAA are vulnerable to obstructionism of an Administration’s aims if political appointees are not wholly in sync with Administration policy,” Gilman wrote.
The overwhelming global scientific consensus is that the climate is warming as a result of human activity, primarily burning fossil fuels like coal, gas and oil for energy.
Project 2025 declined to make anyone available for interview, and did not respond to detailed questions about what commercialization of the NWS would look like, including how severe weather advisories and warnings would be handled if the Weather Service is no longer the official authority for public safety.
John Spink
John Spink
In a statement, Project 2025 spokeswoman Ellen Keenan, said: “There’s a distinction between privatization and commercialization. Using commercial products to provide a better result for taxpayers at a lower cost is nothing new.”
She emphasized that the proposal does not say the public should have to pay to access forecasts. The Project 2025 document is vague. It says the federal government should “fully commercialize its forecasting operations” and “invest” taxpayer dollars in “commercial partners.”
John Knox, associate director of the Atmospheric Sciences Program at the University of Georgia, called the Project 2025 proposals “fiscally … and scientifically stupid.”
“Is there climate alarmism? Not within the federal government,” Knox said. “With regard to climate, the data tell a story that the authors of Project 2025 don’t want to hear, so their answer is to shoot the messenger.”
The National Weather Service was established under a different name in 1870 and originally placed under the military to collect and report weather data. By 1890, it had been moved under the Department of Agriculture and began issuing forecasts and warnings, as it has done ever since. Today, it is under NOAA, which is a part of the Commerce Department, and oversees hundreds of monitoring sites that collect temperature and other data on ocean, land and air. The Weather Service is also responsible for issuing warnings for threats including hurricanes, tornadoes and floods, and works closely with state and local emergency managers.
Currently, commercial weather services rely heavily NOAA data, which is free and public, for their own predictive models, which they sell as a commodity. Knox said the document was fuzzy on the details of commercialization, but seems to indicate that the authors want NOAA to continue the expensive and difficult work of collecting data, but leave the forecasting to the private sector.
He said the proposal raised all sorts of red flags, particularly when it comes to public safety and liability in life-threatening emergencies.
Katelyn Myrick
Katelyn Myrick
“I don’t want my forecasts coming from a corporation that I can’t trust,” Knox said. “We’ve seen all too often that when the companies have control of information, they don’t play fair with it.”
This isn’t the first push to privatize aspects of the Weather Service. Prior attempts during the administrations of Presidents Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush proved unpopular and failed.
In 2017, Trump nominated Barry Myers, then the CEO of private forecaster AccuWeather, to lead NOAA. Myers was a vocal critic of the agency, particularly the Weather Service, which he cast as a competitor, and his company lobbied for years to restrict how it shares information with the public. After two years without a confirmation, Myers withdrew from consideration.
JoAnn Becker, a meteorologist and president of the union representing 4,000 NOAA employees, said everything the agency does and publishes is driven by data and guided by its mission to protect life and property.
Chip Somodevilla
Chip Somodevilla
She said the Project 2025 proposals could make government scientists vulnerable to political pressure. She pointed to the event that became known as “Sharpiegate” in 2019 when then-President Trump falsely claimed Alabama was in the path of a hurricane and then pressured NOAA into releasing an unsigned statement backing those claims, according to multiple investigations, including a report by the Commerce Department Inspector General.
“Our office in Alabama started getting all these phone calls from the public and from their partners, saying ‘What’s going on? Is this going to hit us?’” Becker said. “Our folks in that office were so fearful about telling the truth to the communities they serve, but they did … they were put in a very bad position.”
Zachary Handlos, an atmospheric scientist at Georgia Tech, also expressed concern about the Project 2025 proposals, particularly language casting climate change as a political debate rather than a scientific reality.
“In our world of science, it’s not a political thing, it’s just that’s what the data is showing, so we’re thinking, ‘Ok, how do we communicate this to the public?’” he said. “It’s important for people to be aware of those changes so they can make informed decisions.”
Note of disclosure
This coverage is supported by a partnership with Green South Foundation and Journalism Funding Partners. You can learn more and support our climate reporting by donating at ajc.com/donate/climate/
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